Result
0:2
01/02/2025 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 17
- Referee: Cook D. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 2.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 32 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 41 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (209/311) | 81% (329/406) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 54% (61/112) | 76% (110/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 21% (5/24) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 60% (9/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Teague R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 61', 0 - 1, Velupillay N. ⚽,
- 67', 0 - 2, Santos ⚽, Vergos N. (A),
- 68', Pearman J. ↓, Wales L. ↑,
- 68', Ostler T. ↓, Misao Y. ↑,
- 68', Lisolajski Z. ↓, Anasmo J. ↑,
- 69', Velupillay N. ↓, Arzani D. ↑,
- 69', Vergos N. ↓, Fornaroli B. ↑,
- 78', Freney W. 🟨,
- 79', Machach Z. ↓, Piscopo R. ↑,
- 79', Wood P. ↓, Gomulka T. ↑,
- 84', Freney W. ↓, Mileusnic N. ↑,
- 87', Santos ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 87', Valadon J. ↓, Monge F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Perth Glory
14% | Draw
18.7% | Melbourne Victory
67.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perth Glory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Perth Glory, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (-18.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Victory, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.8 ↑
(6.24) |
5.06 ↑
(4.83) |
1.4 ↓
(1.44) |
5.7%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Perth will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Perth won 0.
- Perth is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Melbourne Victory is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Melbourne Victory could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Melbourne Victory is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Perth: Pennington N.
(Injury)
Williams D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Perth: Mileusnic N.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Perth won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 21:33 (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Perth won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:21 (average 1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Perth Glory won against Melbourne Victory?
Perth Glory has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Perth Glory?
Melbourne Victory has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
08.12.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Perth Glory
2:0
31.03.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Perth Glory
2:1
06.01.2024
Perth Glory
-
Melbourne Victory
2:3
04.10.2023
Perth Glory
-
Melbourne Victory
0:4
09.04.2023
Melbourne Victory
-
Perth Glory
0:0
Latest results of Perth Glory
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
