Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League
Result
3:2
02/01/2026 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaSPOTV Asia
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV, Vidio
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandSPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
vietnamVietnamSPOTV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.85
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
81% (404/497)76% (297/391)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.051.69
Total shots
199
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2816
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
128
Passes
81% (404/497)76% (297/391)
Long passes
40% (23/57)23% (13/56)
Passes in final third
75% (144/192)62% (48/78)
Crosses
27% (6/22)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.38
Throw-ins
2527
Fouls
812
Tackles
71% (10/14)79% (19/24)
Duels won
4747
Clearances
2425
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.691.05
Goals prevented
-0.31-1.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Ostler T. ⚽, Bozinovski R. (A),
  • 17', Roderick ↓, Traore A. ↑,
  • 42', Ostler T. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 1 - 1, D'Arrigo L. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', Shamoon C. A. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 1, Velupillay N. ⚽, Mata J. (A),
  • 54', Sulemani A. ↓, Taggart A. ↑,
  • 54', Ostler T. ↓, Ngo K. ↑,
  • 69', 3 - 1, Clarismario ⚽, Mata J. (A),
  • 72', Pennington N. 🟨,
  • 77', Mata J. ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
  • 77', Velupillay N. ↓, Jelacic K. ↑,
  • 77', Pennington N. ↓, Amos L. ↑,
  • 78', Bozinovski R. ↓, De Abreu G. ↑,
  • 79', 3 - 2, Ngo K. ⚽, Amos L. (A),
  • 85', Clarismario ↓, Reec J. ↑,
  • 86', Genreau D. ↓, Dragicevic O. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Melbourne Victory
51.3%		Draw
24.3%		Perth Glory
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 24.5% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6% 25.3% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Perth Glory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
    •

    Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.84 ↑
    (1.71)    		 3.86 ↑
    (3.75)    		 3.91 ↓
    (4.22)    		 5.8%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 25 - 73.5%). Perth will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne Victory: 58.7% – 88.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Perth (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Melbourne Victory will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Perth (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 5.
    • Melbourne Victory is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Perth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Melbourne Victory is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:17. (average 1.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory were as follows:
    31.10.2025 Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory 0:2
    24.09.2025 Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory 3:0
    01.02.2025 Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory 0:2
    08.12.2024 Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory 2:0
    31.03.2024 Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory 2:1
    Latest results of Melbourne Victory
    29.12.2025 Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix 5:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory 0:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United 2:1 ✺
    05.12.2025 Macarthur FC - Melbourne Victory 0:0 ✺
    28.11.2025 Brisbane Roar - Melbourne Victory 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Perth Glory
    28.12.2025 Melbourne City - Perth Glory 1:3 ✺
    20.12.2025 Perth Glory - Adelaide United 0:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Perth Glory - Sydney 0:1 ✺
    05.12.2025 Perth Glory - Western Sydney Wanderers 1:0 ✺
    30.11.2025 Macarthur FC - Perth Glory 0:2 ✺
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets19121641:291237
    2Auckland FC19105432:181435
    3Sydney FC19102726:18832
    4Adelaide United1993733:28530
    5Melbourne Victory1984728:24428
    6Macarthur FC1967624:28-425
    7Central Coast Mariners1865724:26-223
    8Brisbane Roar2065919:25-623
    9Melbourne City1957720:27-722
    10Perth Glory19631022:30-821
    11WS Wanderers1955921:26-520
    12Wellington Phoenix1955928:39-1120

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