Perth Thunder vs Melbourne Mustangs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Australian Ice Hockey League Perth Thunder - Melbourne Mustangs
Result
5:2
29/08/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AIHL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 02:26, 1 - 0, Lodge Y. (G), Lyashenko M. (A), Johnson K. (A2)
  • 14:40, 1 - 1, Lindal B. (G), Wishart T. (A), Dunkley N. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 00:18, 2 - 1, Langille R. (G), Kyros J. (A),
  • 03:59, 2 - 2, Dunkley N. (G), Lindal B. (A), Klomp D. (A2)
  • 12:39, 3 - 2, Kudla D. (G), Langille R. (A), Kyros J. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 00:48, 4 - 2, Hamilon J. (G), Kyros J. (A),
  • 19:07, 5 - 2, Tenosalmi V. (G), Hikosaka Y. (A), Hamilon J. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Perth Thunder
59.1%
Draw
17.3%
Melbourne Mustangs
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 18.4% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2% 16.6% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Perth Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perth Thunder's performance.
  • Melbourne Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Mustangs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Thunder than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perth Thunder that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Mustangs than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Mustangs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Perth Thunder - Melbourne Mustangs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (2.05)
    5.47
    (4.75)
    4.03
    (2.25)
    5.5%
    (14.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 8.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perth won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Perth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Perth could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Perth won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 85:80. (average 4.3:4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Perth won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:39. (average 4.4:3.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Perth Thunder - Melbourne Mustangs were as follows:
    24.08.2025 Perth Thunder - Melbourne Mustangs 11:7
    23.08.2025 Perth Thunder - Melbourne Mustangs 13:4
    15.06.2025 Melbourne Mustangs - Perth Thunder 4:3
    25.05.2025 Melbourne Mustangs - Perth Thunder 0:8
    28.07.2024 Melbourne Mustangs - Perth Thunder 5:4
    Latest results of Perth Thunder
    Latest results of Melbourne Mustangs
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Ice (1)Bye
    2Newcastle (4)Brisbane Lightning (5)6 : 1
    3CBR Brave (2)Bye
    4Perth (3)Melbourne Mustangs (6)5 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Ice (1)Newcastle (4)6 : 4
    2CBR Brave (2)Perth (3)6 : 1

    Final
    1Melbourne Ice (1)CBR Brave (2)7 : 3