Perth Wildcats vs South East Melbourne Phoenix – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
101:93
28/01/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBL - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7675
Field goals made
3829
Field goals %
50%38.67%
2-point field goals attempts
4937
2-point field goals made
2915
2-point field goals %
59.18%40.54%
3-point field goals attempts
2738
3-point field goals made
914
3-point field goals %
33.33%36.84%
Free throws attempts
2129
Free throws made
1621
Free throws %
76.2%72.4%
Offensive rebounds
1215
Defensive rebounds
3628
Total rebounds
4843
Assists
2117
Blocks
33
Turnovers
129
Steals
48
Personal fouls
1922

Highlights

Chances of winning


Perth Wildcats
44.7%
South East Melbourne Phoenix
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 49.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Perth Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • South East Melbourne Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Wildcats than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Perth Wildcats, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South East Melbourne Phoenix than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for South East Melbourne Phoenix, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.87)

    1.71
    (1.78)
    5.7%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 192.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix?
  • Users Predictions: Perth Wildcats will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Perth Wildcats will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 95:98.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perth won 3.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Perth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, South East Melbourne has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Perth won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1926:1862. (average 96.3:93.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Perth won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1074:994. (average 97.6:90.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix were as follows:
    10.01.2026 South East Melbourne Phoenix - Perth Wildcats 97:107
    18.12.2025 Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix 76:77
    01.11.2025 South East Melbourne Phoenix - Perth Wildcats 94:89
    11.02.2025 Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix 122:105
    31.01.2025 Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix 100:99
    Latest results of Perth Wildcats
    Draw
    Ignite Cup

    Final
    1AdelaideNew Zealand Breakers107 : 111