Perugia vs Forlì – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
21/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport MIX

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
123
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
187
Shots on target
123
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 13', Farinelli N. , Scorza C. ,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Manzari G. ,
  • 20', 2 - 0, Montevago D. ,
  • 44', 3 - 0, Manzari G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Manetti G. 🟨,
  • 63', Menarini F. , Ripani D. ,
  • 63', Cavallini G. , Spinelli A. ,
  • 63', Manetti G. , Mandrelli N. ,
  • 63', Manzari G. , Joselito ,
  • 69', 4 - 0, Joselito ,
  • 77', Coveri V. , Franzolini A. ,
  • 80', Tumbarello G. , Torrasi E. ,
  • 80', Bacchin L. , Matos ,
  • 83', Megelaitis L. 🟨,
  • 90', Montevago D. , Dottori C. ,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Perugia
42.3%
Draw
30.5%
Forlì
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 27% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34% 25.6% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perugia's performance.
  • Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Forlì might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perugia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Forlì could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Perugia - Forlì Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.57)
    2.99
    (3.41)
    3.36
    (2.47)
    9.6%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Perugia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Perugia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, Perugia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Forlì were as follows:
    30.07.2024 Perugia - Forlì 4:2
    Latest results of Perugia
    13.12.2025 Campobasso - Perugia 1:0
    07.12.2025 Perugia - Ternana 1:2
    30.11.2025 Juventus U23 - Perugia 1:0
    24.11.2025 Perugia - Vis Pesaro 2:1
    15.11.2025 Sassari Torres - Perugia 1:1
    Latest results of Forlì
    13.12.2025 Forlì - Carpi 4:2
    08.12.2025 Ascoli - Forlì 3:0
    29.11.2025 Forlì - Bra 1:1
    22.11.2025 Pianese - Forlì 3:2
    14.11.2025 Forlì - Campobasso 2:3
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo28196348:192963
    2Ascoli29178450:193159
    3Ravenna29176641:261557
    4Ternana28138736:28842
    5Campobasso28128840:34642
    6Juventus U23281261034:31342
    7Pineto28119837:35242
    8Pianese29913730:28240
    9Gubbio28912724:21339
    10Vis Pesaro28812828:28036
    11Livorno291051430:41-1135
    12Forli28961335:41-633
    13Guidonia287111024:27-332
    14Carpi29881326:37-1132
    15Torres295131124:37-1328
    16Perugia28691328:35-727
    17Bra295111331:43-1226
    18Sambenedettese295101423:32-925
    19Pontedera28391623:50-2718
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation