Perugia vs Forlì – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
21/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport MIX

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
123
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
187
Shots on target
123
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 13', Farinelli N. , Scorza C. ,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Manzari G. ,
  • 20', 2 - 0, Montevago D. ,
  • 44', 3 - 0, Manzari G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Manetti G. 🟨,
  • 63', Menarini F. , Ripani D. ,
  • 63', Cavallini G. , Spinelli A. ,
  • 63', Manetti G. , Mandrelli N. ,
  • 63', Manzari G. , Joselito ,
  • 69', 4 - 0, Joselito ,
  • 77', Coveri V. , Franzolini A. ,
  • 80', Tumbarello G. , Torrasi E. ,
  • 80', Bacchin L. , Matos ,
  • 83', Megelaitis L. 🟨,
  • 90', Montevago D. , Dottori C. ,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Perugia
42.3%
Draw
30.5%
Forlì
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 27% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34% 25.6% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perugia's performance.
  • Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Forlì might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perugia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Forlì could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Perugia - Forlì Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.57)
    2.99
    (3.41)
    3.36
    (2.47)
    9.6%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Perugia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Perugia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, Perugia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Forlì were as follows:
    30.07.2024 Perugia - Forlì 4:2
    Latest results of Perugia
    13.12.2025 Campobasso - Perugia 1:0
    07.12.2025 Perugia - Ternana 1:2
    30.11.2025 Juventus U23 - Perugia 1:0
    24.11.2025 Perugia - Vis Pesaro 2:1
    15.11.2025 Sassari Torres - Perugia 1:1
    Latest results of Forlì
    13.12.2025 Forlì - Carpi 4:2
    08.12.2025 Ascoli - Forlì 3:0
    29.11.2025 Forlì - Bra 1:1
    22.11.2025 Pianese - Forlì 3:2
    14.11.2025 Forlì - Campobasso 2:3
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo31217354:203470
    2Ascoli31198455:203565
    3Ravenna32187745:301561
    4Pineto31139941:38348
    5Campobasso31148943:35848
    6Pianese311014733:30344
    7Juventus U23311281139:38144
    8Gubbio311013828:26243
    9Vis Pesaro311013832:29343
    10Ternana31139937:31643
    11Livorno321071533:46-1337
    12Guidonia318121125:28-336
    13Forli31981438:46-835
    14Carpi328101430:42-1234
    15Perugia317111332:38-632
    16Torres325161128:41-1331
    17Sambenedettese326111525:34-929
    18Bra315111532:49-1726
    19Pontedera313101826:55-2919
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation