Guidonia Montecelio vs Perugia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
47
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
47
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', Tessiore A. , Coscia W. ,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Montevago D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Spavone A. , Zuppel D. ,
  • 51', 0 - 2, Manzari G. ,
  • 59', Mastrantonio V. , Starita R. ,
  • 65', Bartolomei P. 🟨,
  • 76', Coscia W. , Sannipoli D. ,
  • 76', Vitturini D. , Stefanelli F. ,
  • 81', Bacchin L. , Lisi F. ,
  • 86', Joselito , Torrasi E. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Esempio S. ,
  • 90+5', Torrasi E. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Manzari G. , Giardino C. ,

Chances of winning


Guidonia Montecelio
37.5%
Draw
31.5%
Perugia
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 31% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 29.9% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guidonia Montecelio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.32)
    2.88
    (2.97)
    2.93
    (3.14)
    10%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guidonia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Perugia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Guidonia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guidonia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia were as follows:
    22.08.2025 Perugia - Guidonia Montecelio 0:0
    Latest results of Guidonia Montecelio
    Latest results of Perugia
    21.12.2025 Perugia - Forlì 4:0
    13.12.2025 Campobasso - Perugia 1:0
    07.12.2025 Perugia - Ternana 1:2
    30.11.2025 Juventus U23 - Perugia 1:0
    24.11.2025 Perugia - Vis Pesaro 2:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo26195246:163062
    2Ravenna27174640:251555
    3Ascoli27158446:192753
    4Ternana26128632:23939
    5Campobasso27118836:32439
    6Juventus U23271161033:31239
    7Pianese27911729:27238
    8Pineto2699833:33036
    9Livorno271041329:39-1034
    10Gubbio26712721:20133
    11Vis Pesaro26711825:26-132
    12Guidonia26711823:24-132
    13Carpi27881125:32-732
    14Forli26861231:38-730
    15Bra275101229:40-1125
    16Torres274131022:34-1225
    17Perugia26591226:33-724
    18Sambenedettese27591323:31-824
    19Pontedera26381522:48-2617
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation