Guidonia Montecelio vs Perugia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
47
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
47
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', Tessiore A. , Coscia W. ,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Montevago D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Spavone A. , Zuppel D. ,
  • 51', 0 - 2, Manzari G. ,
  • 59', Mastrantonio V. , Starita R. ,
  • 65', Bartolomei P. 🟨,
  • 76', Coscia W. , Sannipoli D. ,
  • 76', Vitturini D. , Stefanelli F. ,
  • 81', Bacchin L. , Lisi F. ,
  • 86', Joselito , Torrasi E. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Esempio S. ,
  • 90+5', Torrasi E. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Manzari G. , Giardino C. ,

Chances of winning


Guidonia Montecelio
37.5%
Draw
31.5%
Perugia
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 31% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 29.9% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guidonia Montecelio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.32)
    2.88
    (2.97)
    2.93
    (3.14)
    10%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guidonia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Perugia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Guidonia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guidonia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia were as follows:
    22.08.2025 Perugia - Guidonia Montecelio 0:0
    Latest results of Guidonia Montecelio
    Latest results of Perugia
    21.12.2025 Perugia - Forlì 4:0
    13.12.2025 Campobasso - Perugia 1:0
    07.12.2025 Perugia - Ternana 1:2
    30.11.2025 Juventus U23 - Perugia 1:0
    24.11.2025 Perugia - Vis Pesaro 2:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo30207350:203067
    2Ascoli31198455:203565
    3Ravenna31177743:301358
    4Pineto30129939:37245
    5Campobasso30138941:35645
    6Pianese301013731:28343
    7Juventus U23301271137:36143
    8Gubbio301012826:24242
    9Vis Pesaro301012832:29342
    10Ternana30138936:30642
    11Livorno311071433:44-1137
    12Forli30981338:44-635
    13Guidonia308111125:28-335
    14Carpi318101329:40-1134
    15Perugia307101331:37-631
    16Torres315151127:40-1330
    17Sambenedettese316101524:33-928
    18Bra305111432:45-1326
    19Pontedera30391824:53-2918
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation