Guidonia Montecelio vs Perugia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
47
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
47
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', Tessiore A. , Coscia W. ,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Montevago D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Spavone A. , Zuppel D. ,
  • 51', 0 - 2, Manzari G. ,
  • 59', Mastrantonio V. , Starita R. ,
  • 65', Bartolomei P. 🟨,
  • 76', Coscia W. , Sannipoli D. ,
  • 76', Vitturini D. , Stefanelli F. ,
  • 81', Bacchin L. , Lisi F. ,
  • 86', Joselito , Torrasi E. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Esempio S. ,
  • 90+5', Torrasi E. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Manzari G. , Giardino C. ,

Chances of winning


Guidonia Montecelio
37.5%
Draw
31.5%
Perugia
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 31% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 29.9% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guidonia Montecelio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.32)
    2.88
    (2.97)
    2.93
    (3.14)
    10%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guidonia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Perugia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Guidonia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guidonia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia were as follows:
    22.08.2025 Perugia - Guidonia Montecelio 0:0
    Latest results of Guidonia Montecelio
    Latest results of Perugia
    21.12.2025 Perugia - Forlì 4:0
    13.12.2025 Campobasso - Perugia 1:0
    07.12.2025 Perugia - Ternana 1:2
    30.11.2025 Juventus U23 - Perugia 1:0
    24.11.2025 Perugia - Vis Pesaro 2:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo36248464:244080
    2Ascoli36238563:234077
    3Ravenna36227750:302073
    4Campobasso361710949:371259
    5Juventus U233614111146:43353
    6Pianese361117837:34350
    7Pineto3613111242:45-350
    8Gubbio3611151031:32-148
    9Ternana3614111144:40448
    10Vis Pesaro3611131238:36246
    11Livorno361271739:51-1243
    12Forli3610101641:52-1140
    13Carpi3610101635:48-1340
    14Perugia368141438:44-638
    15Guidonia368141430:36-638
    16Sambenedettese368131530:37-737
    17Torres366181232:45-1336
    18Bra366141637:54-1732
    19Pontedera363112227:62-3520
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation