Result
4:2
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy
- Referee: Young A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (488/569) | 81% (339/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.97 | 1.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (488/569) | 81% (339/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (22/51) | 42% (20/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (95/133) | 64% (48/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 0% (0/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.78 | 2.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | -1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Borland A. 🟨,
- 19', Mills H. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Kone M. ⚽, Brannigan C. (A),
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 46', Lolos K. ↓, Morgan J. ↑,
- 46', Lindgren G. ↓, Odoh A. ↑,
- 46', Khela B. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
- 48', 0 - 2, Lynskey A. ⚽,
- 52', 1 - 2, Lisbie K. ⚽, O'Brien-Brady D. (A),
- 67', 2 - 2, Lisbie K. ⚽, Dornelly J. (A),
- 71', Woods B. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 2, Morgan J. ⚽, Dornelly J. (A),
- 73', Lynskey A. ↓, Jenner M. ↑,
- 73', Wilson R. ↓, Cotcher M. ↑,
- 74', 4 - 2, Lisbie K. ⚽, Dornelly J. (A),
- 76', Nevett G. ↓, Mendonca L. ↑,
- 78', Mulley T. ↓, Burgess W. ↑,
- 87', Johnston C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Fortes R. ↓, Bloomfield T. ↑,
- 90+5', Brannigan C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Peterborough United
72.1% | Draw
16.7% | Aston Villa U21
11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterborough United's performance.Aston Villa U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aston Villa U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa U21 than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aston Villa U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Peterborough United - Aston Villa U21 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.68) |
5.51 ↑
(4.02) |
8.52 ↑
(4.36) |
7.9%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Peterborough United - Aston Villa U21?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Peterborough United will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Aston Villa U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Aston Villa U21 has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Peterborough is the obvious favorite.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against Aston Villa U21?
Peterborough United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa U21 won against Peterborough United?
Aston Villa U21 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peterborough United - Aston Villa U21 were as follows:
Latest results of Peterborough United
Latest results of Aston Villa U21
English EFL Trophy Table
2025/26Group 1 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Salford | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 3 | Wolves U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Wigan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Blackpool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Tranmere | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Nottingham U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 4 | Barrow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | 0 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Bradford City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Doncaster | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 4 | Everton U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Barnsley | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Notts Co | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Manchester Utd U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:8 | 0 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Bolton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Manchester City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Rotherham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Oldham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 0 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Harrogate | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:8 | 2 |
| 4 | Mansfield | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Port Vale | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Fleetwood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 3 | Accrington | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 4 | Leeds U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Burton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Liverpool U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
Group 9 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Newport | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Cardiff | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
Group 10 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Plymouth | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 3 | Tottenham U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | 1 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | 0 |
Group 11 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Northampton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Walsall | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Chelsea U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
Group 12 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Reading | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 2 | West Ham U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Swindon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
Group 13 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:4 | 9 |
| 2 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 3 | Bromley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6:11 | 1 |
Group 14 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Crawley | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Peterborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Aston Villa U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 0 |
Group 15 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colchester | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Gillingham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Wycombe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 0 |
Group 16 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Barnet | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 2 | Luton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Brighton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
