Peterborough United vs Aston Villa U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English EFL Trophy Peterborough United - Aston Villa U21
Result
4:2
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Young A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.031.13
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
144
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
86% (488/569)81% (339/417)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.031.13
xG on target (xGOT)
2.971.78
Total shots
144
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
239
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
54
Free Kicks
712
Passes
86% (488/569)81% (339/417)
Long passes
43% (22/51)42% (20/48)
Passes in final third
71% (95/133)64% (48/75)
Crosses
35% (9/26)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.590.27
Throw-ins
3015
Fouls
127
Tackles
50% (8/16)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3838
Clearances
928
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.782.97
Goals prevented
-0.22-1.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Borland A. 🟨,
  • 19', Mills H. 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Kone M. , Brannigan C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 46', Lolos K. , Morgan J. ,
  • 46', Lindgren G. , Odoh A. ,
  • 46', Khela B. , Lisbie K. ,
  • 48', 0 - 2, Lynskey A. ,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Lisbie K. , O'Brien-Brady D. (A),
  • 67', 2 - 2, Lisbie K. , Dornelly J. (A),
  • 71', Woods B. , Andrews J. ,
  • 72', 3 - 2, Morgan J. , Dornelly J. (A),
  • 73', Lynskey A. , Jenner M. ,
  • 73', Wilson R. , Cotcher M. ,
  • 74', 4 - 2, Lisbie K. , Dornelly J. (A),
  • 76', Nevett G. , Mendonca L. ,
  • 78', Mulley T. , Burgess W. ,
  • 87', Johnston C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Fortes R. , Bloomfield T. ,
  • 90+5', Brannigan C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Peterborough United
72.1%
Draw
16.7%
Aston Villa U21
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 23.2% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 25.2% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterborough United's performance.
  • Aston Villa U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aston Villa U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa U21 than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aston Villa U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Peterborough United - Aston Villa U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.68)
    5.51
    (4.02)
    8.52
    (4.36)
    7.9%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Peterborough United - Aston Villa U21?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Peterborough United will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Aston Villa U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Aston Villa U21 has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Peterborough is the obvious favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Aston Villa U21
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