Result
4:2
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy
- Referee: Young A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.03 | 1.13 |
Ball Possession |
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58% | 42% |
Total shots |
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14 | 4 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 1 |
Passes |
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86% (488/569) | 81% (339/417) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.03 | 1.13 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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2.97 | 1.78 |
Total shots |
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14 | 4 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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7 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
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8 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
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6 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
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23 | 9 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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5 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
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7 | 12 |
Passes |
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86% (488/569) | 81% (339/417) |
Long passes |
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43% (22/51) | 42% (20/48) |
Passes in final third |
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71% (95/133) | 64% (48/75) |
Crosses |
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35% (9/26) | 0% (0/6) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.59 | 0.27 |
Throw-ins |
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30 | 15 |
Fouls |
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12 | 7 |
Tackles |
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50% (8/16) | 67% (8/12) |
Duels won |
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38 | 38 |
Clearances |
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9 | 28 |
Interceptions |
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12 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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1.78 | 2.97 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.22 | -1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Borland A. 🟨,
- 19', Mills H. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Kone M. ⚽, Brannigan C. (A),
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 46', Lolos K. ↓, Morgan J. ↑,
- 46', Lindgren G. ↓, Odoh A. ↑,
- 46', Khela B. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
- 48', 0 - 2, Lynskey A. ⚽,
- 52', 1 - 2, Lisbie K. ⚽, O'Brien-Brady D. (A),
- 67', 2 - 2, Lisbie K. ⚽, Dornelly J. (A),
- 71', Woods B. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 2, Morgan J. ⚽, Dornelly J. (A),
- 73', Lynskey A. ↓, Jenner M. ↑,
- 73', Wilson R. ↓, Cotcher M. ↑,
- 74', 4 - 2, Lisbie K. ⚽, Dornelly J. (A),
- 76', Nevett G. ↓, Mendonca L. ↑,
- 78', Mulley T. ↓, Burgess W. ↑,
- 87', Johnston C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Fortes R. ↓, Bloomfield T. ↑,
- 90+5', Brannigan C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Peterborough United 72.1% | Draw 16.7% | Aston Villa U21 11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterborough United's performance.Aston Villa U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aston Villa U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa U21 than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aston Villa U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Peterborough United - Aston Villa U21 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.28 ↓ (1.68) |
5.51 ↑ (4.02) |
8.52 ↑ (4.36) |
7.9% (7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Peterborough United - Aston Villa U21?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Peterborough United will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Aston Villa U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Aston Villa U21 has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Peterborough is the obvious favorite.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against Aston Villa U21?
Peterborough United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa U21 won against Peterborough United?
Aston Villa U21 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peterborough United - Aston Villa U21 were as follows:
Latest results of Peterborough United
Latest results of Aston Villa U21
English EFL Trophy Table
2025/26Group 1 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Stockport County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
2 | Salford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
3 | Wolves U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 0 |
4 | Wigan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Blackpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
2 | Tranmere | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
3 | Nottingham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
4 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Doncaster | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
2 | Bradford City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
3 | Grimsby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
4 | Everton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Lincoln | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
2 | Notts Co | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
3 | Barnsley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
4 | Manchester Utd U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Bolton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
2 | Manchester City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
3 | Rotherham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
4 | Oldham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Harrogate | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
2 | Huddersfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 |
3 | Mansfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
4 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | 0 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Port Vale | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
2 | Fleetwood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
3 | Accrington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
4 | Leeds U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 3 |
2 | Burton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
3 | Liverpool U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
4 | Chesterfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:7 | 0 |
Group 9 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Arsenal U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
2 | Cardiff | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
3 | Newport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
4 | Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
Group 10 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Plymouth | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 |
2 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
3 | Tottenham U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | 1 |
4 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Group 11 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Northampton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
2 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
3 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
4 | Chelsea U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
Group 12 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | West Ham U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 3 |
2 | Reading | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
3 | Swindon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
4 | MK Dons | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
Group 13 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Stevenage | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
2 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 3 |
3 | Bromley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
4 | Crystal Palace U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 1 |
Group 14 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Crawley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
2 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
3 | Peterborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 3 |
4 | Aston Villa U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 0 |
Group 15 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Gillingham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
2 | Colchester | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
3 | Wycombe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
4 | Fulham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
Group 16 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
2 | Barnet | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | 2 |
3 | Brighton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
4 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |