Peterborough United vs Aston Villa U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Young A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.031.13
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
144
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
86% (488/569)81% (339/417)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.031.13
xG on target (xGOT)
2.971.78
Total shots
144
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
239
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
54
Free Kicks
712
Passes
86% (488/569)81% (339/417)
Long passes
43% (22/51)42% (20/48)
Passes in final third
71% (95/133)64% (48/75)
Crosses
35% (9/26)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.590.27
Throw-ins
3015
Fouls
127
Tackles
50% (8/16)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3838
Clearances
928
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.782.97
Goals prevented
-0.22-1.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Borland A. 🟨,
  • 19', Mills H. 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Kone M. , Brannigan C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 46', Lolos K. , Morgan J. ,
  • 46', Lindgren G. , Odoh A. ,
  • 46', Khela B. , Lisbie K. ,
  • 48', 0 - 2, Lynskey A. ,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Lisbie K. , O'Brien-Brady D. (A),
  • 67', 2 - 2, Lisbie K. , Dornelly J. (A),
  • 71', Woods B. , Andrews J. ,
  • 72', 3 - 2, Morgan J. , Dornelly J. (A),
  • 73', Lynskey A. , Jenner M. ,
  • 73', Wilson R. , Cotcher M. ,
  • 74', 4 - 2, Lisbie K. , Dornelly J. (A),
  • 76', Nevett G. , Mendonca L. ,
  • 78', Mulley T. , Burgess W. ,
  • 87', Johnston C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Fortes R. , Bloomfield T. ,
  • 90+5', Brannigan C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Peterborough United
72.1%
Draw
16.7%
Aston Villa U21
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 23.2% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 25.2% 19.7%

Peterborough United - Aston Villa U21 Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.28
(1.68)
5.51
(4.02)
8.52
(4.36)
7.9%
(7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Peterborough United - Aston Villa U21?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.25 - Aston Villa U21 (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Peterborough United will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 1 - 50%). Aston Villa U21 (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Aston Villa U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Aston Villa U21 has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Peterborough is the obvious favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Aston Villa U21
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LincolnHuddersfield0 : 2
    2SalfordRotherham2 : 7
    3DoncasterChesterfield5 : 1
    4TranmereFleetwood0 : 3
    5BoltonBradford City3 : 0
    6Port ValeBarnsley5 : 0
    7CreweStockport County1 : 2
    8HarrogateBlackpool4 : 2
    9CardiffAFC Wimbledon1 : 5
    10ColchesterWest Ham U210 : 1
    11NorthamptonWycombe2 : 0
    12StevenageWalsall1 : 2
    13LutonExeter4 : 0
    14SwindonPeterborough1 : 0
    15Bristol RoversCambridge Utd3 : 2
    16Leyton OrientPlymouth0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1HuddersfieldRotherham3 : 0
    2DoncasterFleetwood3 : 1
    3BoltonPort Vale0 : 1
    4Stockport CountyHarrogate2 : 1
    5AFC WimbledonWest Ham U214 : 2
    6NorthamptonWalsall4 : 2
    7LutonSwindon1 : 2
    8Bristol RoversPlymouth3 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1HuddersfieldDoncaster
    2Port ValeStockport County
    3AFC WimbledonNorthampton
    4TBD #7Plymouth