Petr Bar-Biryukov vs Mackenzie McDonald – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Jinan Challenger Men Petr Bar-Biryukov - Mackenzie McDonald
Result
0:2
11/10/2025 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
40
1st Serve Percentage
57%78%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (19/30)78% (25/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
35% (8/23)89% (8/9)
Break Points Saved
20% (1/5)100% (3/3)
1st Return Points Won
22% (7/32)40% (12/30)
2nd Return Points Won
11% (1/9)65% (15/23)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/3)80% (4/5)
Service Points Won
49% (26/53)80% (33/41)
Return Points Won
20% (8/41)51% (27/53)
Total Points Won
36% (34/94)64% (60/94)
Last 10 Balls
19
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)100% (8/8)
Return Games Won
0% (0/8)44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Petr Bar-Biryukov
25.7%
Mackenzie McDonald
74.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 69.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 69.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Petr Bar-Biryukov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Bar-Biryukov than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Petr Bar-Biryukov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mackenzie McDonald, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Petr Bar-Biryukov - Mackenzie McDonald Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.74
    (3.08)

    1.26
    (1.36)
    6.3%
    (6%)
    What is the prediction for Petr Bar-Biryukov - Mackenzie McDonald?
  • Users Predictions: Petr Bar-Biryukov will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Petr Bar-Biryukov will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bar-Biryukov is ranked ATP: 304. McDonald is ranked ATP: 99.
    • Bar-Biryukov is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, McDonald has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • McDonald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, McDonald is the team to beat.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Petr Bar-Biryukov
    Latest results of Mackenzie McDonald
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Blanchet U.2 : 0
    2O'Connell C. (RET.)Draxl L.1 : 0
    3Yevseyev D. (Q)Hijikata R.0 : 2
    4Zhou Y. (WC)Schoolkate T. (5)2 : 0
    5Svrcina D. (4)Tomic B.1 : 2
    6Watanuki Y.Harris B.1 : 2
    7Jacquet K. (Q)Samrej K. (Q)2 : 0
    8McCabe J. (Alt)Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    9Duckworth J. (8)Smith C.0 : 2
    10Droguet T.Cui J. (WC)2 : 0
    11Bar Biryukov P. (Q)Daniel T.2 : 1
    12Wong C.Djere L. (3)2 : 0
    13McDonald M. (6)Mayot H.2 : 0
    14Kotov P. (Q)Holmgren A.2 : 0
    15Holt B.Zhukov M. (Q)2 : 1
    16Sun F. (WC)Walton A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Draxl L.2 : 0
    2Hijikata R.Zhou Y.1 : 2
    3Tomic B.Harris B.2 : 1
    4Jacquet K.Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    5Smith C.Droguet T.2 : 1
    6Bar Biryukov P.Wong C.2 : 1
    7McDonald M. (6)Kotov P.2 : 0
    8Holt B.Walton A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Zhou Y.2 : 1
    2Tomic B.Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    3Smith C.Bar Biryukov P.0 : 2
    4McDonald M. (6)Holt B.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Mochizuki S. (7)2 : 0
    2Bar Biryukov P.McDonald M. (6)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cazaux A. (1)McDonald M. (6)2 : 0