Petr Brunclik vs Joel Schwaerzler – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
26/02/2026 at 09:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
1413
Double Faults
32
1st serve percentage
57%53%
1st serve points won
77% (48/62)68% (42/62)
2nd serve points won
49% (23/47)61% (33/54)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)60% (6/10)
1st return points won
32% (20/62)23% (14/62)
2nd return points won
39% (21/54)51% (24/47)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)30% (3/10)
Winners
5044
Unforced errors
4330
Net points won
81% (13/16)73% (16/22)
Service Points Won
65% (71/109)65% (75/116)
Return Points Won
35% (41/116)35% (38/109)
Total Points Won
50% (112/225)50% (113/225)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
10
Service games won
82% (14/17)75% (12/16)
Return games won
25% (4/16)18% (3/17)
Total games won
55% (18/33)45% (15/33)

Chances of winning


Petr Brunclik
63.8%
Joel Schwaerzler
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 47%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Petr Brunclik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Petr Brunclik's performance.
  • Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joel Schwaerzler might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Brunclik than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Petr Brunclik that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joel Schwaerzler could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Petr Brunclik - Joel Schwaerzler Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.67)

    2.58
    (2.1)
    6.8%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Petr Brunclik - Joel Schwaerzler?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Joel Schwaerzler will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Brunclik is ranked ATP: 288. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 242.
    • Brunclik is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Schwaerzler has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Schwaerzler may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brunclik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Petr Brunclik - Joel Schwaerzler were as follows:
    06.06.2024 Petr Brunclik - Joel Schwaerzler 0:2
    Latest results of Petr Brunclik
    Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Bernet H. (WC)2 : 0
    2Cassone M.Nesterov P. (LL)1 : 2
    3Dodig M.Forejtek J. (Q)2 : 0
    4Gentzsch T.Skatov T. (7)0 : 2
    5Sachko V. (4)Brunclik P. (Q)0 : 2
    6Schwaerzler J. J.Basic M. (Q)2 : 0
    7Fatic N.Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    8Stricker D. (WC)Grenier H. (6)2 : 0
    9Rybakov A. (LL)Mrva M. (NG)1 : 2
    10Bertola R.Mmoh M.1 : 2
    11Gakhov I.Piraino G. (Q)2 : 1
    12Squire H.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    13Holmgren A. (8)Uchida K.2 : 1
    14Brunold M. (WC)Knaff A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Topo M. (RET.)Huesler M.1 : 1
    16Dietrich D. (Q)Glinka D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Nesterov P.2 : 0
    2Dodig M.Skatov T. (7)2 : 1
    3Brunclik P.Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    4Moro Canas A.Stricker D.0 : 2
    5Mrva M.Mmoh M.2 : 1
    6Gakhov I.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    7Holmgren A. (8)Brunold M.0 : 2
    8Huesler M.Glinka D. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Dodig M.0 : 2
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Stricker D.2 : 0
    3Mrva M.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    4Brunold M.Huesler M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M.Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    2Piros Z. (3)Brunold M.2 : 0

    Final
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Piros Z. (3)1 : 2