Petr Nesterov vs Max Alcala Gurri – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Milan Challenger Men Petr Nesterov - Max Alcala Gurri
Result
0:2
23/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
63%70%
1st Serve Points Won
44% (18/41)60% (21/35)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (12/24)47% (7/15)
Break Points Saved
40% (4/10)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
40% (14/35)56% (23/41)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (8/15)50% (12/24)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)60% (6/10)
Service Points Won
46% (30/65)56% (28/50)
Return Points Won
44% (22/50)54% (35/65)
Total Points Won
45% (52/115)55% (63/115)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
33% (3/9)67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)67% (6/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Petr Nesterov
48.7%
Max Alcala Gurri
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Petr Nesterov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Petr Nesterov - Max Alcala Gurri Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.88)

    1.81
    (1.84)
    7.5%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Petr Nesterov - Max Alcala Gurri?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nesterov will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Alcala Gurri will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nesterov (votes: 1 - 50%). Alcala Gurri (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nesterov is ranked ATP: 456. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 385.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Nesterov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Petr Nesterov
    19.06.2025 Petr Nesterov - Johan Nikles Nikles J. retired
    18.06.2025 Petr Nesterov - Nick Hardt 2:0
    Latest results of Max Alcala Gurri
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Piraino G. (WC)2 : 0
    2Berrettini J. (Q)Squire H. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Erhard M.Negritu Ch.1 : 2
    4Martin A.Gakhov I. (8)1 : 2
    5Soto M. (4)Pereira T. (LL)1 : 2
    6Jodar R. (JR)Giustino L.2 : 0
    7Dedura D. (NG)Gea A.0 : 2
    8Roca Batalla O. (Alt)Pacheco Mendez R. (5)2 : 1
    9Ferreira Silva F. (6)Vatutin A. (RET.)1 : 0
    10Cecchinato M. (WC)Alcala Gurri M. (Q)2 : 0
    11Faurel T. (Q)Bondioli F. (Q)2 : 1
    12Fonio G. (Q)Houkes M. (3)1 : 2
    13Poljicak M. (7)Travaglia S.2 : 1
    14Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Vasami J. (WC)0 : 2
    15Prihodko O. (Alt)Albot R.2 : 0
    16Mikrut L.Coppejans K. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    2Negritu Ch.Gakhov I. (8)2 : 0
    3Pereira T.Jodar R.1 : 2
    4Gea A.Roca Batalla O.2 : 1
    5Ferreira Silva F. (6)Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    6Faurel T.Houkes M. (3)1 : 2
    7Poljicak M. (7)Vasami J.1 : 2
    8Prihodko O.Mikrut L.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    2Jodar R.Gea A.2 : 1
    3Cecchinato M.Houkes M. (3)2 : 0
    4Vasami J.Mikrut L.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Jodar R.2 : 1
    2Cecchinato M.Vasami J.2 : 0

    Final
    1Prizmic D. (1)Cecchinato M.0 : 2