Petr Nesterov vs Maximus Jones – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
61
Double Faults
02
1st serve percentage
64%57%
1st serve points won
66% (40/61)62% (33/53)
2nd serve points won
54% (19/35)50% (20/40)
Break Points Saved
7/105/9
1st return points won
38% (20/53)34% (21/61)
2nd return points won
50% (20/40)46% (16/35)
Break Points Converted
4/93/10
Winners
2420
Unforced errors
4252
Net points won
54% (14/26)59% (16/27)
Service Points Won
61% (58/95)57% (53/93)
Return Points Won
43% (40/93)39% (37/95)
Total Points Won
52% (98/188)48% (90/188)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
79% (11/14)71% (10/14)
Return games won
29% (4/14)21% (3/14)
Total games won
54% (15/28)46% (13/28)

Chances of winning


Petr Nesterov
60.8%
Maximus Jones
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 42.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Maximus Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximus Jones than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Petr Nesterov - Maximus Jones Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.55)

    2.4
    (2.26)
    7.2%
    (8.8%)
    What is the prediction for Petr Nesterov - Maximus Jones?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nesterov will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Jones will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nesterov is ranked ATP: 477. Jones is ranked ATP: 314.
    • In recent matches, Nesterov has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Jones is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Nesterov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Nesterov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Maximus Jones
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Durasovic V.2 : 1
    2Makk P. (Q)Henning P.0 : 2
    3Tsitsipas Pa. (WC)Jubb P.0 : 2
    4Hussey G.Wendelken H. (7)0 : 2
    5Gentzsch T. (3)Berrettini J.2 : 1
    6Nesterov P. (Q)Jones M.2 : 1
    7Carboni L. (NG)Iannaccone F. (Q)0 : 2
    8Mrva M.Kuzmanov D. (5)2 : 0
    9Pereira T. (6)Geerts M.0 : 2
    10Bernet H. (JR)Dostanic S.0 : 2
    11Barranco Cosano J. (RET.) (Q)Shelbayh A.0 : 1
    12Piraino G. (Alt)Coppejans K. (4)1 : 2
    13Bertrand R. (8)Langmo C. (Q)2 : 1
    14Xilas I. (WC)Rybakov A.0 : 2
    15Rincon D.Gadamauri B. (Q)2 : 1
    16Efstathiou M. (WC)Samuel T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Henning P.2 : 1
    2Jubb P.Wendelken H. (7)2 : 0
    3Gentzsch T. (3)Nesterov P.0 : 2
    4Iannaccone F.Mrva M.1 : 2
    5Geerts M.Dostanic S.0 : 2
    6Shelbayh A.Coppejans K. (4)1 : 2
    7Bertrand R. (8)Rybakov A.2 : 0
    8Rincon D.Samuel T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Jubb P.1 : 2
    2Nesterov P.Mrva M.0 : 2
    3Dostanic S.Coppejans K. (4)2 : 0
    4Bertrand R. (8)Samuel T. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Jubb P.Mrva M.0 : 2
    2Dostanic S.Samuel T. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Mrva M.Samuel T. (2)