Petra Martic vs Maria Lourdes Carle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
03/03/2025 at 17:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
62%78%
1st Serve Points Won
44% (15/34)67% (28/42)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (8/21)42% (5/12)
Break Points Saved
50% (6/12)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
33% (14/42)56% (19/34)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (7/12)62% (13/21)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)50% (6/12)
Service Points Won
42% (23/55)61% (33/54)
Return Points Won
39% (21/54)58% (32/55)
Total Points Won
40% (44/109)60% (65/109)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
40
Service Games Won
33% (3/9)75% (6/8)
Return Games Won
25% (2/8)67% (6/9)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Petra Martic
60%
Maria Lourdes Carle
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 53.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Petra Martic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Petra Martic's performance.
  • Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Lourdes Carle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petra Martic than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Petra Martic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Lourdes Carle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Petra Martic - Maria Lourdes Carle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (2.19)

    2.34
    (1.63)
    6.8%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Petra Martic - Maria Lourdes Carle?
  • Users Predictions: Petra Martic will win (33 of 38 users predict this - 86.84%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.09%97.59%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Martic is ranked WTA: 124. Carle is ranked WTA: 100.
    • Martic is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Carle is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Martic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Martic will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Petra Martic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Sakatsume H. (Q)Parks A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Cristian J.Tjen J.2 : 1
    4ByeJoint M. (29)
    5Jovic I. (18)Bye
    6Stephens S. (WC)Osorio C.0 : 2
    7Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)McNally C.2 : 1
    8ByeOsaka N. (16)
    9Mboko V. (10)Bye
    10Birrell K.Selekhmeteva O.2 : 0
    11Sonmez Z.Kessler M.2 : 0
    12ByeKalinskaya A. (23)
    13Raducanu E. (25)Bye
    14Seidel E.Zakharova A. (Q)0 : 2
    15Galfi D. (LL)Blinkova A.0 : 2
    16ByeAnisimova A. (6)
    17Gauff C. (4)Bye
    18Andreescu B. (WC)Rakhimova K. (Q)1 : 2
    19Yastremska D.Zhang S.2 : 0
    20ByeEala A. (31)
    21Shnaider D. (21)Bye
    22Cirstea S.Maria T.2 : 1
    23Bouzas Maneiro J.Haddad Maia B.2 : 1
    24ByeNoskova L. (14)
    25Alexandrova E. (11)Bye
    26Gibson T. (Q)Li A.2 : 0
    27Putintseva Y.Badosa P.2 : 0
    28ByeTauson C. (17)
    29Wang Xin. (30)Bye
    30Tomljanovic A.Ruse G.2 : 0
    31Potapova A.Stakusic M. (Q)2 : 1
    32ByePaolini J. (7)
    33Pegula J. (5)Bye
    34Vekic D. (WC)Valentova T.2 : 0
    35Volynets K. (WC)Sramkova R. (RET.)1 : 0
    36ByeOstapenko J. (26)
    37Mertens E. (22)Bye
    38Bucsa C.Vidmanova D. (Q)2 : 0
    39Hunter S. (Q)Frech M.2 : 1
    40ByeBencic B. (12)
    41Keys M. (15)Bye
    42Parry D. (Q)Williams V. (WC)2 : 1
    43Tararudee L. (Q)Kartal S.0 : 2
    44ByeNavarro E. (20)
    45Kostyuk M. (28)Bye
    46Bouzkova M.Townsend T. (Q)0 : 2
    47Arango E.Baptiste H.1 : 2
    48ByeRybakina E. (3)
    49Andreeva M. (8)Bye
    50Stearns P.Sierra S.0 : 2
    51Siniakova K.Kenin S.2 : 1
    52ByeFernandez L. (27)
    53Samsonova L. (19)Bye
    54Linette M.Krueger A.0 : 2
    55Siegemund L.Marcinko P.2 : 1
    56ByeSvitolina E. (9)
    57Muchova K. (13)Bye
    58Jacquemot E.Bondar A.0 : 2
    59Ruzic A.Brady J. (WC)2 : 1
    60ByeZheng Q. (24)
    61Sakkari M. (32)Bye
    62Gracheva V.Tagger L. (WC)0 : 2
    63Jones F.Day K. (Q)0 : 2
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Sakatsume H.2 : 0
    2Cristian J.Joint M. (29)2 : 1
    3Jovic I. (18)Osorio C.1 : 2
    4Jimenez Kasintseva V.Osaka N. (16)0 : 2
    5Mboko V. (10)Birrell K.2 : 0
    6Sonmez Z.Kalinskaya A. (23)0 : 2
    7Raducanu E. (25)Zakharova A.2 : 0
    8Blinkova A.Anisimova A. (6)1 : 2
    9Gauff C. (4)Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    10Yastremska D.Eala A. (31)1 : 2
    11Shnaider D. (21)Cirstea S.0 : 2
    12Bouzas Maneiro J.Noskova L. (14)0 : 2
    13Alexandrova E. (11)Gibson T.0 : 2
    14Putintseva Y.Tauson C. (17)0 : 2
    15Wang Xin. (30)Tomljanovic A.0 : 2
    16Potapova A.Paolini J. (7)1 : 2
    17Pegula J. (5)Vekic D.2 : 1
    18Volynets K.Ostapenko J. (26)0 : 2
    19Mertens E. (22)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    20Hunter S.Bencic B. (12)0 : 2
    21Keys M. (15)Parry D.2 : 0
    22Kartal S.Navarro E. (20)2 : 1
    23Kostyuk M. (28)Townsend T.2 : 0
    24Baptiste H.Rybakina E. (3)1 : 2
    25Andreeva M. (8)Sierra S.2 : 0
    26Siniakova K.Fernandez L. (27)2 : 1
    27Samsonova L. (19)Krueger A.1 : 2
    28Siegemund L.Svitolina E. (9)1 : 2
    29Muchova K. (13)Bondar A.2 : 0
    30Ruzic A.Zheng Q. (24)2 : 0
    31Sakkari M. (32)Tagger L.2 : 0
    32Day K.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Cristian J.2 : 0
    2Osorio C.Osaka N. (16)1 : 2
    3Mboko V. (10)Kalinskaya A. (23)2 : 0
    4Raducanu E. (25)Anisimova A. (6)0 : 2
    5Gauff C. (RET.) (4)Eala A. (31)0 : 1
    6Cirstea S.Noskova L. (14)1 : 2
    7Gibson T.Tauson C. (17)2 : 1
    8Tomljanovic A.Paolini J. (7)1 : 2
    9Pegula J. (5)Ostapenko J. (26)2 : 1
    10Mertens E. (22)Bencic B. (12)0 : 2
    11Keys M. (15)Kartal S.1 : 2
    12Kostyuk M. (28)Rybakina E. (3)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (8)Siniakova K.1 : 2
    14Krueger A.Svitolina E. (9)0 : 2
    15Muchova K. (13)Ruzic A.2 : 0
    16Sakkari M. (32)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Osaka N. (16)2 : 0
    2Mboko V. (10)Anisimova A. (6)2 : 0
    3Eala A. (31)Noskova L. (14)0 : 2
    4Gibson T.Paolini J. (7)2 : 1
    5Pegula J. (5)Bencic B. (12)2 : 0
    6Kartal S. (RET.)Rybakina E. (3)0 : 1
    7Siniakova K. (RET.)Svitolina E. (9)0 : 1
    8Muchova K. (13)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Mboko V. (10)2 : 0
    2Noskova L. (14)Gibson T.2 : 1
    3Pegula J. (5)Rybakina E. (3)0 : 2
    4Svitolina E. (9)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Noskova L. (14)2 : 0
    2Rybakina E. (3)Svitolina E. (9)2 : 0

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rybakina E. (3)2 : 1