Petrocub-Hîncești vs Paphos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
03/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Redder M. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 15
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
moldovaMoldovaW Sport
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.911.89
Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
312
Shots on Goal
19
Shots off Goal
22
Blocked Shots
01
Free Kicks
2112
Corner Kicks
11
Offsides
12
Goalkeeper Saves
50
Fouls
910
Yellow Cards
12
Total Passes
431539
Completed Passes
345457
Crosses Completed
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Lungu T. (Pen),
  • 33', 1 - 1, Correia J. ,
  • 37', 1 - 2, Jaja , Sunjic I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', 1 - 3, Correia J. , Silva J. (A),
  • 54', Agyemang M. N. , Jardan V. ,
  • 60', Jaja , Quina D. ,
  • 60', Jairo , Anderson Silva ,
  • 63', Caruntu M. , Nikhaev V. ,
  • 63', Ambros V. , Demian D. ,
  • 70', Correia J. , Name M. ,
  • 76', Bors I. , Diallo B. ,
  • 76', Puscas D. , Guilherme Matheus ,
  • 82', 1 - 4, Name M. , Tankovic M. (A),
  • 85', Sunjic I. , Leo Natel ,
  • 85', Tankovic M. , Ilia M. ,
  • 87', Name M. 🟨,
  • 87', Jardan I. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Silva J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Petrocub-Hîncești
17.2%
Draw
23.5%
Paphos
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.4% 26.4% 49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7% 25.7% 50.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Petrocub-Hîncești has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Petrocub-Hîncești's form might have worsened.
  • Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paphos's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrocub-Hîncești than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Petrocub-Hîncești, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paphos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Petrocub-Hîncești - Paphos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.49
    (3.83)
    4.02
    (3.54)
    1.62
    (1.89)
    4.7%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Petrocub-Hîncești - Paphos?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Petrocub will win (votes: 6 - 15.4%). Paphos will win (votes: 30 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paphos: 63.7%90.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadionul Zimbru.
    • Recent matches Petrocub is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Paphos is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Petrocub could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Petrocub have a series of home games.
    • In this match Paphos is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Petrocub: Mudrac V. (Red Card)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Petrocub-Hîncești
    Latest results of Paphos
    29.09.2024 Paphos - Aris Limassol 1:1
    25.09.2024 APOEL - Paphos 1:0
    22.09.2024 AEL Limassol - Paphos 1:3
    18.09.2024 Paphos - Nea Salamis 4:0
    14.09.2024 Paphos - Anorthosis 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2