Petrocub-Hîncești vs Paphos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Petrocub-Hîncești - Paphos
Result
1:4
03/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Redder M. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 15
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
moldovaMoldovaW Sport
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.911.89
Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
312
Shots on Goal
19
Shots off Goal
22
Blocked Shots
01
Free Kicks
2112
Corner Kicks
11
Offsides
12
Goalkeeper Saves
50
Fouls
910
Yellow Cards
12
Total Passes
431539
Completed Passes
345457
Crosses Completed
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Lungu T. (Pen),
  • 33', 1 - 1, Correia J. ,
  • 37', 1 - 2, Jaja , Sunjic I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', 1 - 3, Correia J. , Silva J. (A),
  • 54', Agyemang M. N. , Jardan V. ,
  • 60', Jaja , Quina D. ,
  • 60', Jairo , Anderson Silva ,
  • 63', Caruntu M. , Nikhaev V. ,
  • 63', Ambros V. , Demian D. ,
  • 70', Correia J. , Name M. ,
  • 76', Bors I. , Diallo B. ,
  • 76', Puscas D. , Guilherme Matheus ,
  • 82', 1 - 4, Name M. , Tankovic M. (A),
  • 85', Sunjic I. , Leo Natel ,
  • 85', Tankovic M. , Ilia M. ,
  • 87', Name M. 🟨,
  • 87', Jardan I. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Silva J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Petrocub-Hîncești
17.2%
Draw
23.5%
Paphos
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.4% 26.4% 49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7% 25.7% 50.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Petrocub-Hîncești has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Petrocub-Hîncești's form might have worsened.
  • Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paphos's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrocub-Hîncești than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Petrocub-Hîncești, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paphos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Petrocub-Hîncești - Paphos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.49
    (3.83)
    4.02
    (3.54)
    1.62
    (1.89)
    4.7%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Petrocub-Hîncești - Paphos?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Petrocub will win (votes: 6 - 15.4%). Paphos will win (votes: 30 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paphos: 63.7%90.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadionul Zimbru.
    • Recent matches Petrocub is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Paphos is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Petrocub could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Petrocub have a series of home games.
    • In this match Paphos is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Petrocub: Mudrac V. (Red Card)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Petrocub-Hîncești
    Latest results of Paphos
    29.09.2024 Paphos - Aris Limassol 1:1
    25.09.2024 APOEL - Paphos 1:0
    22.09.2024 AEL Limassol - Paphos 1:3
    18.09.2024 Paphos - Nea Salamis 4:0
    14.09.2024 Paphos - Anorthosis 3:1
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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