Result
2:3
27/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 9
- Referee: Abbas M. (Egy)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (340/428) | 68% (167/247) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (340/428) | 68% (167/247) |
| Long passes |
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| 47% (20/43) | 39% (20/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (71/104) | 54% (45/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 93% (13/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.74 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, El Badry M. ⚽, Mohamed T. (A),
- 30', Mugisha B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Makhlouf M. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
- 46', Ali A. ↓, El Saaiy O. ↑,
- 58', El Gamal M. ↓, Reda O. ↑,
- 58', Bah A. ↓, Diabate A. ↑,
- 61', Mohamed T. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 1, Mohsen S. ⚽, Ali H. (A),
- 66', 2 - 1, El Saaiy O. ⚽, El Armouty A. (A),
- 70', Kenawi M. ↓, Ghoneim A. ↑,
- 71', Sonko S. ↓, Ahmed R. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 2, Reyad H. ⚽,
- 78', El Badry M. ↓, Yassin A. ↑,
- 86', Hashem M. 🟨,
- 86', Ali H. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 3, Hamed A. (Pen),
- 90', El Armouty A. ↓, Eduwo K. ↑,
- 90+1', Mohsen S. 🟨,
- 90+6', Diabate A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Masry
41.7% | Draw
34.1% | Petrojet
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Masry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Masry's form might have worsened.Petrojet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petrojet's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (+16.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Masry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrojet than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petrojet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al Masry - Petrojet Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↑
(1.63) |
3.2 ↓
(3.36) |
4.51 ↓
(5.91) |
-8.3%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Al Masry - Petrojet?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Al Masry will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Petrojet will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al Masry (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Masry won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Petrojet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al Masry is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Al Masry won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Masry won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Masry won against Petrojet?
Al Masry has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Petrojet won against Al Masry?
Petrojet has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Masry - Petrojet were as follows:
13.04.2025
Al Masry
-
Petrojet
4:0
23.01.2025
Petrojet
-
Al Masry
2:1
Latest results of Al Masry
Latest results of Petrojet
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ahly | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 12:4 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Al Masry | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Zamalek | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Enppi | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Pyramids | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Smouha | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | ZED | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:8 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Modern Sport | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | National Bank Egypt | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 12 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 14 |
| 13 | Petrojet | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | El Gouna | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Haras El Hodood | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | El Gaish | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 9 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 |
| 19 | El Ismaily | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5:14 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Arab Contractors | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 6 |
| 21 | Pharco | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
