Result
2:3
27/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 9
- Referee: Abbas M. (Egy)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.50 | 1.29 |
Ball Possession |
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63% | 37% |
Total shots |
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14 | 7 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 3 |
Passes |
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79% (340/428) | 68% (167/247) |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.50 | 1.29 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.94 | 1.26 |
Total shots |
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14 | 7 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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7 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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13 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
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1 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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25 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 7 |
Passes |
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79% (340/428) | 68% (167/247) |
Long passes |
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47% (20/43) | 39% (20/51) |
Passes in final third |
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68% (71/104) | 54% (45/84) |
Crosses |
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30% (6/20) | 40% (6/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.50 | 1.11 |
Throw-ins |
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13 | 13 |
Fouls |
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7 | 12 |
Tackles |
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83% (5/6) | 93% (13/14) |
Duels won |
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36 | 34 |
Clearances |
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12 | 34 |
Interceptions |
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4 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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1.26 | 1.94 |
Goals prevented |
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-1.74 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, El Badry M. ⚽, Mohamed T. (A),
- 30', Mugisha B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Makhlouf M. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
- 46', Ali A. ↓, El Saaiy O. ↑,
- 58', El Gamal M. ↓, Reda O. ↑,
- 58', Bah A. ↓, Diabate A. ↑,
- 61', Mohamed T. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 1, Mohsen S. ⚽, Ali H. (A),
- 66', 2 - 1, El Saaiy O. ⚽, El Armouty A. (A),
- 70', Kenawi M. ↓, Ghoneim A. ↑,
- 71', Sonko S. ↓, Ahmed R. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 2, Reyad H. ⚽,
- 78', El Badry M. ↓, Yassin A. ↑,
- 86', Hashem M. 🟨,
- 86', Ali H. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 3, Hamed A. (Pen),
- 90', El Armouty A. ↓, Eduwo K. ↑,
- 90+1', Mohsen S. 🟨,
- 90+6', Diabate A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Masry 41.7% | Draw 34.1% | Petrojet 24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Masry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Masry's form might have worsened.Petrojet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petrojet's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (+16.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Masry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrojet than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petrojet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al Masry - Petrojet Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.61 ↑ (1.63) |
3.2 ↓ (3.36) |
4.51 ↓ (5.91) |
-8.3% (8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Al Masry - Petrojet?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Al Masry will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Petrojet will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al Masry (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Masry won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Petrojet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al Masry is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Al Masry won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Masry won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Masry won against Petrojet?
Al Masry has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Petrojet won against Al Masry?
Petrojet has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Masry - Petrojet were as follows:
13.04.2025
Al Masry
-
Petrojet
4:0
23.01.2025
Petrojet
-
Al Masry
2:1
Latest results of Al Masry
Latest results of Petrojet
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Zamalek | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
2 | Al Masry | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 15 |
3 | Al Ahly | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
4 | Wadi Degla | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
5 | Pyramids | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
6 | Enppi | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 14 |
7 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 14 |
8 | Petrojet | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 14 |
9 | ZED | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Modern Sport | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
11 | National Bank Egypt | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
12 | Smouha | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
13 | Haras El Hodood | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
15 | El Gouna | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
16 | El Gaish | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 9 |
17 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 8 |
18 | Pharco | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
19 | Arab Contractors | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 5 |
20 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 5 |
21 | El Ismaily | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2:11 | -9 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )