Pharco vs Ismaily – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
26/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
egyptEgyptKora Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.18
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
71% (251/355)59% (190/320)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.860.14
Total shots
913
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1221
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
917
Passes
71% (251/355)59% (190/320)
Long passes
48% (41/85)37% (30/81)
Passes in final third
56% (68/121)44% (48/109)
Crosses
14% (1/7)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.49
Throw-ins
2728
Fouls
179
Tackles
95% (20/21)59% (13/22)
Duels won
7167
Clearances
4420
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.141.86
Goals prevented
0.140.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Fakhri M. , El Tayeb K. ,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Ndiaye B. , El Tayeb K. (A),
  • 45+3', Hassan M. 🟨,
  • 45+8', Al Nabris K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', El Malawany A. , Khatary M. ,
  • 46', Hussein M. , Shaaban A. ,
  • 63', Farag N. 🟨,
  • 64', Abdelsalam A. , El Dah A. ,
  • 75', Mostafa W. , Emam S. ,
  • 75', Medhat W. R. , Farhat M. ,
  • 76', El Kot O. , Hassan M. ,
  • 81', Emam S. 🟨,
  • 81', El Mizzayn I. , Ezz M. ,
  • 84', Samir M. , Saber H. ,
  • 85', Mohamed A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pharco
37.8%
Draw
35.5%
Ismaily
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 34.3% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 29.1% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pharco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pharco than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ismaily could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pharco - Ismaily Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.41)
    2.62
    (2.72)
    3.49
    (3.47)
    7.5%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Pharco - Ismaily?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pharco will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 19 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pharco won 2.
    • Recent performances by Pharco have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Ismaily's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ismaily may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Pharco might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pharco won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.6:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pharco won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pharco - Ismaily were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Ismaily - Pharco 0:2
    04.05.2024 Pharco - Ismaily 0:2
    22.10.2023 Ismaily - Pharco 0:1
    08.03.2023 Ismaily - Pharco 0:0
    23.11.2022 Pharco - Ismaily 1:1
    Latest results of Pharco
    21.10.2025 Pyramids - Pharco 2:0
    05.10.2025 Pharco - Wadi Degla 0:0
    28.09.2025 Modern Sport - Pharco 1:1
    22.09.2025 Pharco - Al Masry 0:0
    Latest results of Ismaily
    18.10.2025 Ismaily - Haras El-Hodood 3:1
    03.10.2025 Smouha - Ismaily 2:0
    24.09.2025 ENPPI - Ismaily 1:0
    18.09.2025 Ismaily - Zamalek 0:2
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    8Wadi Degla31202:0234
    9ZED31112:2033
    10National Bank Egypt31115:4130
    11Petrojet31204:3130
    12El Gouna30210:1-130
    13El Gaish31111:1026
    14Modern Sport30301:1026
    15Ghazl El Mahallah31203:2124
    16Arab Contractors31203:2123
    17Al Ittihad30302:2023
    18Kahrabaa Ismailia30302:2019
    19Haras El Hodood30212:4-219
    20Pharco30212:4-217
    21El Ismaily30210:1-113

          Relegation ~ Division 2 A