Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
8:5
12/03/2026 at 13:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLB - Spring Training

Match Stats

Hits
610
Errors
00
2B - double
22
3B - triple
01
Home runs
11
Runs batted in
75
Left on base
35
Base on balls
42
Strikeouts
45
Stolen bases
11
At bat
2532
Batting average
0.240.313

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Phillies
59.9%
Toronto Blue Jays
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 46.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Philadelphia Phillies's performance.
  • Toronto Blue Jays has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto Blue Jays might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Philadelphia Phillies that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Blue Jays than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto Blue Jays could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.8)

    2.38
    (2.06)
    4.2%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 11.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 7:5.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 3.
    • Recent form of Philadelphia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Toronto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Philadelphia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 106:80. (average 5.3:4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 42:26. (average 5.3:3.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays were as follows:
    07.03.2026 Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays 0:1
    21.02.2026 Toronto Blue Jays - Philadelphia Phillies 3:0
    15.06.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays 11:4
    14.06.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays 3:2
    13.06.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays 8:0
    Latest results of Toronto Blue Jays
    MLB Spring Training Table
    2026

    Grapefruit
    PlWDLPCT
    1Atlanta Braves251726138:1000.739
    2Washington Nationals24133896:920.619
    3New York Yankees2616010129:1130.615
    4Pittsburgh Pirates2616010129:1200.615
    5St.Louis Cardinals251429105:970.609
    6New York Mets231229110:810.571
    7Boston Red Sox2412012122:1470.500
    8Houston Astros251031298:890.455
    9Baltimore Orioles2510312104:1220.455
    10Toronto Blue Jays2510213117:1110.435
    11Philadelphia Phillies2510114122:1220.417
    12Miami Marlins23831275:1030.400
    13Detroit Tigers247512121:1140.368
    14Tampa Bay Rays25811699:1230.333
    15Minnesota Twins258116109:1400.333


    Cactus
    PlWDLPCT
    1Los Angeles Dodgers261808181:1500.692
    2San Francisco Giants261718156:1130.680
    3Texas Rangers2615011163:1220.577
    4San Diego Padres2614111169:1480.560
    5Chicago White Sox2815112151:1300.556
    6Cleveland Guardians2613112146:1310.520
    7Los Angeles Angels2915014132:1630.517
    8Colorado Rockies2612113168:1790.480
    9Arizona Diamondbacks2612113143:1740.480
    10Cincinnati Reds2612014159:1750.462
    11Athletics2712015172:1660.444
    12Milwaukee Brewers2511014147:1320.440
    13Chicago Cubs2511014123:1540.440
    14Seattle Mariners279117143:1900.346
    15Kansas City Royals278118146:1720.308