Philadelphia Union vs Indy Eleven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Subaru Park (Chester, PA).

US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.46	1.14
Ball Possession
67%	33%
Total shots
33	12
Shots on target
11	4
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
8	3
Passes
80% (561/699)	64% (231/361)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46	1.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.01	1.45
Total shots
33	12
Shots on target
11	4
Shots off target
11	6
Blocked Shots
11	2
Shots inside the Box
15	6
Shots outside the Box
18	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
41	13
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
5	3
Free Kicks
18	15
Passes
80% (561/699)	64% (231/361)
Long passes
62% (45/73)	37% (33/90)
Passes in final third
71% (201/282)	46% (50/108)
Crosses
21% (8/39)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
2.40	0.20
Throw-ins
38	28
Fouls
15	18
Tackles
90% (9/10)	100% (17/17)
Duels won
52	44
Clearances
13	39
Interceptions
10	20
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	10
xGOT faced
1.45	2.01
Goals prevented
0.45	1.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Bedoya A. ⚽, Mbaizo O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Glesnes J. ↓, Harriel N. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Amoh E. ⚽, Foster M. (A),
55', Vazquez D. 🟨,
57', Damiani B. ↓, Baribo T. ↑,
57', Bueno J. ↓, Lukic J. ↑,
57', Vazquez D. ↓, Wagner K. ↑,
69', Murphy J. 🟨,
73', Amoh E. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
73', Foster M. ↓, Collier E. ↑,
81', Mbaizo O. ↓, Vassilev I. ↑,
88', Makhanya O. 🟨,
90+1', Ofeimu B. 🟨,
90+2', Stanley A. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Rendon B. ↓, O'Brien J. ↑,
91', Murphy J. ↓, Lindley C. ↑,
91', Uhre M. ↓, Westfield F. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Williams R. (Pen),
1, Vassilev I. (Pen),
2, Blake J. (Pen),
2, Baribo T. (Pen),
3, Quinn A. (Pen),
3, Westfield F. (Pen),
4, Lindley C. (Pen),
4, Rafanello J. (Pen),
5, Stanley A. (Pen),
5, Lukic J. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Philadelphia Union
68.5%

Draw
19%

Indy Eleven
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

22%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

21.5%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Philadelphia Union's performance.

Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Philadelphia Union that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Philadelphia Union - Indy Eleven Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.47)	4.81 ↑ (4.14)	7.56 ↑ (5.58)	8.2% (10%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

Philadelphia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Indy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Indy has had a series of home games.
In this match, Philadelphia is the undisputed favorite.
Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Indy Eleven?

Philadelphia Union has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against Philadelphia Union?

Indy Eleven has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Indy Eleven were as follows:

Latest results of Philadelphia Union

03.05.2025 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 1:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Philadelphia Union - DC United 3:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Philadelphia Union - Atlanta United 3:0 ✺

12.04.2025 New York City - Philadelphia Union 1:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Philadelphia Union - Orlando City 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Indy Eleven

03.05.2025 Indy Eleven - Detroit City 2:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Forward Madison - Indy Eleven 0:4 ✺

19.04.2025 Indy Eleven - Charleston Battery 1:3 ✺

16.04.2025 Indy Eleven - Miami 1:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Indy Eleven - North Carolina 2:2 ✺

Draw

2026

1/64-finals

1	Steel City	Pittsburgh
2	Carolina Core	Virginia Dream	1 : 2
3	Asheville City	Greenville	3 : 1
4	Vistula	One Knoxville	1 : 3
5	FC Naples	Red Force	3 : 0
6	Tormenta	America CFL Spurs (WO.)
7	Indy Eleven	Menace	3 : 0
8	BOHFS St. Louis	Union Omaha	0 : 8
9	Charlotte Independ.	Ristozi	4 : 1
10	Charleston	Florida Badgers	2 : 1
11	AV Alta	Valley 559 FC	0 : 1
12	Sacramento Republic	El Farolito	2 : 0
13	Chattanooga	Kalonji	2 : 1
14	Tennessee Tempo	Chattanooga Red Wolves	1 : 0
15	Richmond Kickers	Northern Virginia	2 : 0
16	West Chester Utd	Loudoun	1 : 2
17	Rhode Island	Faialense	4 : 0
18	Motown	Hartford Athletic	0 : 2
19	Vermont Green	Portland Hearts of Pine	1 : 0
20	Westchester SC	NY Renegades	2 : 0
21	Lexington	Flower City Union	9 : 0
22	Louisville City	Southern Indiana	2 : 0
23	Flint City	Forward Madison	2 : 0
24	Detroit	Michigan Rangers	5 : 1
25	Colorado Springs	Azteca	3 : 0
26	Ventura	Spokane Velocity	1 : 2
27	San Antonio	New Stars	6 : 0
28	Little Rock Rangers	FC Tulsa	2 : 4
29	New Mexico	Cruizers	3 : 2
30	Laredo Heat	El Paso	0 : 2
31	Orange County SC	Laguna United	3 : 0
32	Phoenix Rising	San Ramon	4 : 0

1/32-finals

1	TBD #1	Virginia Dream
2	Asheville City	One Knoxville
3	FC Naples	America CFL Spurs
4	Indy Eleven	Union Omaha
5	Charlotte Independ.	Charleston
6	Valley 559 FC	Sacramento Republic
7	Chattanooga	Tennessee Tempo
8	Richmond Kickers	Loudoun
9	Rhode Island	Hartford Athletic
10	Vermont Green	Westchester SC
11	Lexington	Louisville City
12	Flint City	Detroit
13	Colorado Springs	Spokane Velocity
14	San Antonio	FC Tulsa
15	New Mexico	El Paso
16	Orange County SC	Phoenix Rising