Phoenix Fuel Masters vs Barangay Ginebra San Miguel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
96:109
12/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PBA Commissioner's Cup

Chances of winning


Phoenix Fuel Masters
21.4%
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
78.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 64.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Fuel Masters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Phoenix Fuel Masters's form might have worsened.
  • Barangay Ginebra San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barangay Ginebra San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Fuel Masters than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Phoenix Fuel Masters, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barangay Ginebra San Miguel than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barangay Ginebra San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Phoenix Fuel Masters - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.32
    (2.98)

    1.18
    (1.35)
    7.9%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 199.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Fuel Masters won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Phoenix Fuel Masters may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Barangay Ginebra is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Fuel Masters won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1895:2003. (average 94.8:100.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix Fuel Masters won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1169:1203. (average 97.4:100.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Fuel Masters - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel were as follows:
    16.11.2025 Phoenix Fuel Masters - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 93:102
    16.05.2025 Phoenix Fuel Masters - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 112:119
    13.12.2024 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - Phoenix Fuel Masters 94:72
    18.09.2024 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - Phoenix Fuel Masters 112:96
    06.09.2024 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - Phoenix Fuel Masters 110:101
    Latest results of Phoenix Fuel Masters
    Philippines - Commissioners Cup Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Rain or Shine Elasto Painters9811022:9240.889
    2NLEX Road Warriors972930:8850.778
    3Barangay Ginebra San Miguel972949:8920.778
    4TNT Tropang 5G963944:8950.667
    5Meralco Bolts853840:8110.625
    6Phoenix Fuelmasters954942:9220.556
    7San Miguel Beermen10551036:10600.500
    8Magnolia Hotshots945897:8660.444
    9Converge FiberXers10461017:10190.400
    10Terrafirma Dyip936891:9190.333
    11Titan Ultra Giant Risers927872:9870.222
    12Macau Black Bears10281060:11250.200
    13Blackwater Bossing10281014:11090.200

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