Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball WNBA Dallas Wings - Phoenix Mercury
Result
97:76
11/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
8457
Field Goals Made
4126
Field Goals %
48.81%45.61%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
5629
2-Point Field Goals Made
3314
2-Point Field Goals %
58.93%48.28%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2828
3-Point Field Goals Made
812
3-Point Field Goals %
28.57%42.86%
Free Throws Attempted
1117
Free Throws Made
712
Free Throws %
63.6%70.6%
Offensive Rebounds
175
Defensive Rebounds
2522
Total Rebounds
4227
Assists
2421
Blocks
51
Turnovers
918
Steals
117
Personal Fouls
1317

Chances of winning


Dallas Wings
31.3%
Phoenix Mercury
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 63.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dallas Wings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dallas Wings's form might have worsened.
  • Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Phoenix Mercury's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Wings than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Dallas Wings - Phoenix Mercury Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (2.62)

    1.39
    (1.52)
    4.4%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 167.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
  • What is the prediction for Dallas Wings - Phoenix Mercury?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dallas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 81:87.
  • Preview Facts
    • Phoenix is Qualified for WNBA (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 1.
    • Dallas is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Phoenix has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Phoenix may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Dallas has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Phoenix is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1709:1719. (average 85.5:86).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 787:797. (average 87.4:88.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dallas Wings - Phoenix Mercury were as follows:
    07.07.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Dallas Wings 102:72
    03.07.2025 Dallas Wings - Phoenix Mercury 98:89
    11.06.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Dallas Wings 93:80
    10.07.2024 Phoenix Mercury - Dallas Wings 100:84
    03.07.2024 Dallas Wings - Phoenix Mercury 96:104
    Latest results of Dallas Wings
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Minnesota Lynx W (1)Golden State Valkyries W (8)2 : 0
    2Phoenix Mercury W (4)New York Liberty W (5)2 : 1
    3Las Vegas Aces W (2)Seattle Storm W (7)2 : 1
    4Atlanta Dream W (3)Indiana Fever W (6)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Minnesota Lynx W (1)Phoenix Mercury W (4)1 : 1
    2Las Vegas Aces W (2)Indiana Fever W (6)1 : 1