Result
86:81
28/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WNBA - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field Goals Attempted |
|---|
| 68 | 76 |
| Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 29 | 32 |
| Field Goals % |
|---|
| 42.65% | 42.11% |
| 2-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 40 | 52 |
| 2-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| 2-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 45% | 44.23% |
| 3-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| 3-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| 3-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 39.29% | 37.5% |
| Free Throws Attempted |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Free Throws Made |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Free Throws % |
|---|
| 73.9% | 88.9% |
| Offensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Defensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 31 | 30 |
| Total Rebounds |
|---|
| 38 | 34 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Personal Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
Chances of winning
Phoenix Mercury
59.5% | Minnesota Lynx
40.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Phoenix Mercury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Minnesota Lynx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota Lynx than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.58) |
|
2.38 ↓
(2.45) |
1.3%
(4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 155.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
What is the prediction for Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Minnesota Lynx will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 81:76.
Preview Facts
- Phoenix Mercury leads series 2-1. 4th leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 3.
- Phoenix is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Minnesota has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Phoenix is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1569:1725. (average 78.5:86.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 634:643. (average 79.3:80.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Mercury won against Minnesota Lynx?
Phoenix Mercury has won 5 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota Lynx won against Phoenix Mercury?
Minnesota Lynx has won 12 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx were as follows:
26.09.2025
Phoenix Mercury
-
Minnesota Lynx
84:76
23.09.2025
Minnesota Lynx
-
Phoenix Mercury
83:89
21.09.2025
Minnesota Lynx
-
Phoenix Mercury
82:69
16.07.2025
Minnesota Lynx
-
Phoenix Mercury
79:66
09.07.2025
Phoenix Mercury
-
Minnesota Lynx
79:71
Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
Latest results of Minnesota Lynx
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Las Vegas Aces W (2) | Seattle Storm W (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Atlanta Dream W (3) | Indiana Fever W (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Minnesota Lynx W (1) | Golden State Valkyries W (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Phoenix Mercury W (4) | New York Liberty W (5) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Las Vegas Aces W (2) | Indiana Fever W (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Minnesota Lynx W (1) | Phoenix Mercury W (4) | 1 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Las Vegas Aces W (2) | Phoenix Mercury W (4) | 4 : 0 |
