Result
26/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Phoenix Mercury
39.6% | Minnesota Lynx
60.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Minnesota Lynx has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Lynx than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↓
(2.59) |
|
1.59 ↑
(1.52) |
4.5%
(4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 158.50The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
Preview Facts
- Series tied 1-1. 3rd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 2.
- Phoenix has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Minnesota is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Phoenix may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Minnesota has had a series of home games.
- Minnesota will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1556:1733. (average 77.8:86.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 621:651. (average 77.6:81.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Mercury won against Minnesota Lynx?
Phoenix Mercury has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota Lynx won against Phoenix Mercury?
Minnesota Lynx has won 12 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx were as follows:
23.09.2025
Minnesota Lynx
-
Phoenix Mercury
83:89
21.09.2025
Minnesota Lynx
-
Phoenix Mercury
82:69
16.07.2025
Minnesota Lynx
-
Phoenix Mercury
79:66
09.07.2025
Phoenix Mercury
-
Minnesota Lynx
79:71
03.06.2025
Minnesota Lynx
-
Phoenix Mercury
88:65
Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
Latest results of Minnesota Lynx
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Minnesota Lynx W (1) | Golden State Valkyries W (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Phoenix Mercury W (4) | New York Liberty W (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces W (2) | Seattle Storm W (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Atlanta Dream W (3) | Indiana Fever W (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Minnesota Lynx W (1) | Phoenix Mercury W (4) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Las Vegas Aces W (2) | Indiana Fever W (6) | 1 : 1 |
