Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball WNBA Minnesota Lynx - Phoenix Mercury
Result
79:66
16/07/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6870
Field Goals Made
2925
Field Goals %
42.6%35.7%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4544
2-Point Field Goals Made
1918
2-Point Field Goals %
42.2%40.9%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2326
3-Point Field Goals Made
107
3-Point Field Goals %
43.5%26.9%
Free Throws Attempted
1415
Free Throws Made
119
Free Throws %
78.6%60%
Offensive Rebounds
79
Defensive Rebounds
3730
Total Rebounds
4439
Assists
2221
Blocks
44
Turnovers
1512
Steals
97
Personal Fouls
1516

Chances of winning


Minnesota Lynx
81%
Phoenix Mercury
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.9% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota Lynx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Minnesota Lynx's performance.
  • Phoenix Mercury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Phoenix Mercury might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota Lynx than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Minnesota Lynx that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Phoenix Mercury could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Minnesota Lynx - Phoenix Mercury Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.17
    (1.37)

    4.95
    (3.18)
    5.4%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 158.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
  • What is the prediction for Minnesota Lynx - Phoenix Mercury?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Phoenix will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 85:74.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Phoenix may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Minnesota has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Minnesota is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1745:1553. (average 87.3:77.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 913:788. (average 91.3:78.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota Lynx - Phoenix Mercury were as follows:
    09.07.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx 79:71
    03.06.2025 Minnesota Lynx - Phoenix Mercury 88:65
    30.05.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx 71:74
    25.09.2024 Minnesota Lynx - Phoenix Mercury 101:88
    22.09.2024 Minnesota Lynx - Phoenix Mercury 102:95
    Latest results of Minnesota Lynx
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    WNBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W393183382:29970.795
    2Las Vegas Aces W4026143308:32630.650
    3Phoenix Mercury W3925143240:31050.641
    4Golden State Valkyries W3921183072:29970.538
    5Seattle Storm W4122193379:32760.537
    6Los Angeles Sparks W3818203264:33440.474
    7Dallas Wings W409313269:35240.225


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Atlanta Dream W3925143254:30080.641
    2New York Liberty W4024163405:32400.600
    3Indiana Fever W4021193381:32870.525
    4Washington Mystics W4116253194:33450.390
    5Connecticut Sun W3910292976:33420.256
    6Chicago Sky W399302957:33530.231


    Overall Standings
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W393183382:29970.795
    2Las Vegas Aces W4026143308:32630.650
    3Atlanta Dream W3925143254:30080.641
    4Phoenix Mercury W3925143240:31050.641
    5New York Liberty W4024163405:32400.600
    6Golden State Valkyries W3921183072:29970.538
    7Seattle Storm W4122193379:32760.537
    8Indiana Fever W4021193381:32870.525
    9Los Angeles Sparks W3818203264:33440.474
    10Washington Mystics W4116253194:33450.390
    11Connecticut Sun W3910292976:33420.256
    12Chicago Sky W399302957:33530.231
    13Dallas Wings W409313269:35240.225

          Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )