Result
1:2
15/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Fabrizi L. ⚽,
- 34', 0 - 2, Bertini M. ⚽,
- 38', Mawete J. C. 🟨,
- 43', Gorelli M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tosto L. ↓, Camporese M. ↑,
- 46', Mawete J. C. ↓, Ghezzi S. ↑,
- 60', Luperini G. ↓, Malagrida L. ↑,
- 60', Biondi K. ↓, Panaioli L. ↑,
- 61', Fabrizi L. ↓, Bellini L. ↑,
- 61', Ianesi S. ↓, Sodero A. ↑,
- 64', Ercolani L. 🟨,
- 68', Ghezzi S. 🟨,
- 70', Bertini M. ↓, Simeoni L. ↑,
- 73', Odjer M. ↓, Hamlili Z. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 2, Panaioli L. ⚽,
- 85', Tirelli M. ↓, Colombo M. ↑,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Livorno 43.2% | Draw 31% | Pianese 25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Livorno - Pianese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.12 ↓ (2.4) |
2.96 ↑ (2.89) |
3.56 ↑ (3.11) |
9% (8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 0.
- Livorno is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Pianese's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Livorno won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Livorno won against Pianese?
Livorno has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pianese won against Livorno?
Pianese has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Livorno - Pianese were as follows:
03.10.2025
Pianese
-
Livorno
2:1
10.03.2024
Livorno
-
Pianese
1:1
15.11.2023
Pianese
-
Livorno
1:1
14.05.2023
Pianese
-
Livorno
3:1
02.04.2023
Livorno
-
Pianese
2:2
Latest results of Livorno
Latest results of Pianese
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49:19 | 30 | 56 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Ternana | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Juventus U23 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Pianese | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 39 |
| 8 | Pineto | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
| 9 | Gubbio | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 36 |
| 10 | Livorno | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:39 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Forli | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Vis Pesaro | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Guidonia | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Carpi | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 15 | Bra | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Torres | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 | Perugia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 18 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation