Result
1:2
15/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Fabrizi L. ⚽,
- 34', 0 - 2, Bertini M. ⚽,
- 38', Mawete J. C. 🟨,
- 43', Gorelli M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tosto L. ↓, Camporese M. ↑,
- 46', Mawete J. C. ↓, Ghezzi S. ↑,
- 60', Luperini G. ↓, Malagrida L. ↑,
- 60', Biondi K. ↓, Panaioli L. ↑,
- 61', Fabrizi L. ↓, Bellini L. ↑,
- 61', Ianesi S. ↓, Sodero A. ↑,
- 64', Ercolani L. 🟨,
- 68', Ghezzi S. 🟨,
- 70', Bertini M. ↓, Simeoni L. ↑,
- 73', Odjer M. ↓, Hamlili Z. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 2, Panaioli L. ⚽,
- 85', Tirelli M. ↓, Colombo M. ↑,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Livorno 43.2% | Draw 31% | Pianese 25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Livorno - Pianese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.12 ↓ (2.4) |
2.96 ↑ (2.89) |
3.56 ↑ (3.11) |
9% (8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 0.
- Livorno is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Pianese's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Livorno won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Livorno won against Pianese?
Livorno has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pianese won against Livorno?
Pianese has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Livorno - Pianese were as follows:
03.10.2025
Pianese
-
Livorno
2:1
10.03.2024
Livorno
-
Pianese
1:1
15.11.2023
Pianese
-
Livorno
1:1
14.05.2023
Pianese
-
Livorno
3:1
02.04.2023
Livorno
-
Pianese
2:2
Latest results of Livorno
Latest results of Pianese
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 57:22 | 35 | 74 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 62:22 | 40 | 74 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 49:30 | 19 | 70 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:37 | 10 | 53 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 44:41 | 3 | 51 |
| 6 | Pineto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:39 | 2 | 50 |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Pianese | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 46 |
| 9 | Ternana | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:36 | 5 | 45 |
| 10 | Gubbio | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 44 |
| 11 | Livorno | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 37:51 | -14 | 40 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 28:32 | -4 | 38 |
| 13 | Carpi | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 37 |
| 14 | Perugia | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Forli | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 36 |
| 16 | Torres | 34 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 31:42 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Bra | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 34:50 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 34 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 26:58 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation