Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok
Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 8
  • Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.000.81
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
87% (445/510)82% (380/461)
Yellow Cards
63
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.000.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.040.51
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2625
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
87% (445/510)82% (380/461)
Long passes
50% (21/42)52% (23/44)
Passes in final third
76% (84/110)70% (97/138)
Crosses
23% (5/22)60% (3/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.161.05
Throw-ins
1716
Fouls
1113
Tackles
75% (9/12)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4238
Clearances
2222
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
0.511.04
Goals prevented
-0.490.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Drapinski I. 🟨,
  • 24', Boisgard Q. 🟨,
  • 35', Drachal D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Boisgard Q. 🟨,
  • 55', Jirka E. 🟨,
  • 60', Drachal D. , Jackson A. ,
  • 60', Pietuszewski O. , Lozano S. ,
  • 61', 0 - 1, Imaz J. ,
  • 66', Chrapek M. , Juande ,
  • 66', Felix J. , Lokilo J. ,
  • 67', Sanca L. , Barkovskiy G. ,
  • 71', Pozo A. , Rallis D. ,
  • 71', Pululu A. , Jozwiak K. ,
  • 77', Jirka E. , Dalmau A. ,
  • 80', Wojtuszek N. , Kobayashi Y. ,
  • 80', Dalmau A. 🟨,
  • 82', Drapinski I. , Lesniak O. ,
  • 84', Stojinovic D. 🟨,
  • 88', Kobayashi Y. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Juande , Dziczek P. (A),
  • 90+5', Twumasi E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Piast Gliwice
37.4%
Draw
29.5%
Jagiellonia Białystok
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 29.7% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 29.4% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piast Gliwice's performance.
  • Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piast Gliwice that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jagiellonia Białystok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.95)
    2.86
    (3.15)
    2.54
    (2.42)
    18.2%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jagiellonia Białystok will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 0.
    • In recent matches, Piast has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Jagiellonia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Piast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Piast: Katsantonis A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Piast won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Piast won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Piast Gliwice 1:1
    29.09.2024 Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:1
    18.05.2024 Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1
    24.11.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Piast Gliwice 0:0
    29.01.2023 Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1
    Latest results of Piast Gliwice
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1061315:8719
    2Cracovia953117:10718
    3Korona Kielce1053214:7718
    4Jagiellonia953116:12418
    5Wisla Plock952211:6517
    6Legia943212:6615
    7Lech Poznan943217:16115
    8Zaglebie934220:13713
    9Radomiak Radom1033417:18-112
    10Motor Lublin925211:14-311
    11Rakow932410:13-311
    12Widzew Lodz1031613:13010
    13Pogon Szczecin1031614:19-510
    14Termalica B-B1023513:17-49
    15Arka Gdynia102355:14-99
    16GKS Katowice1022611:21-108
    17Piast Gliwice81437:9-27
    18Lechia Gdansk1032518:25-76

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1