Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 8
- Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (445/510) | 82% (380/461) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (445/510) | 82% (380/461) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (21/42) | 52% (23/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (84/110) | 70% (97/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 60% (3/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Drapinski I. 🟨,
- 24', Boisgard Q. 🟨,
- 35', Drachal D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Boisgard Q. 🟨,
- 55', Jirka E. 🟨,
- 60', Drachal D. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
- 60', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽,
- 66', Chrapek M. ↓, Juande ↑,
- 66', Felix J. ↓, Lokilo J. ↑,
- 67', Sanca L. ↓, Barkovskiy G. ↑,
- 71', Pozo A. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
- 71', Pululu A. ↓, Jozwiak K. ↑,
- 77', Jirka E. ↓, Dalmau A. ↑,
- 80', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
- 80', Dalmau A. 🟨,
- 82', Drapinski I. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
- 84', Stojinovic D. 🟨,
- 88', Kobayashi Y. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Juande ⚽, Dziczek P. (A),
- 90+5', Twumasi E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Piast Gliwice
37.4% | Draw
29.5% | Jagiellonia Białystok
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piast Gliwice's performance.Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piast Gliwice that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jagiellonia Białystok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.95) |
2.86 ↓
(3.15) |
2.54 ↑
(2.42) |
18.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jagiellonia Białystok will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 0.
- In recent matches, Piast has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Jagiellonia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Piast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Piast: Katsantonis A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Piast won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Piast won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Piast Gliwice has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Piast Gliwice?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
06.04.2025
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Piast Gliwice
1:1
29.09.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
0:1
18.05.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:1
24.11.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Piast Gliwice
0:0
29.01.2023
Piast Gliwice
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:1
Latest results of Piast Gliwice
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 16 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Legia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
