Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 8
- Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.00 | 0.81 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
87% (445/510) | 82% (380/461) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
6 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.00 | 0.81 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.04 | 0.51 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
87% (445/510) | 82% (380/461) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (21/42) | 52% (23/44) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (84/110) | 70% (97/138) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (5/22) | 60% (3/5) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.16 | 1.05 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (9/12) | 54% (7/13) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 38 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.51 | 1.04 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.49 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Drapinski I. 🟨,
- 24', Boisgard Q. 🟨,
- 35', Drachal D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Boisgard Q. 🟨,
- 55', Jirka E. 🟨,
- 60', Drachal D. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
- 60', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽,
- 66', Chrapek M. ↓, Juande ↑,
- 66', Felix J. ↓, Lokilo J. ↑,
- 67', Sanca L. ↓, Barkovskiy G. ↑,
- 71', Pozo A. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
- 71', Pululu A. ↓, Jozwiak K. ↑,
- 77', Jirka E. ↓, Dalmau A. ↑,
- 80', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
- 80', Dalmau A. 🟨,
- 82', Drapinski I. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
- 84', Stojinovic D. 🟨,
- 88', Kobayashi Y. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Juande ⚽, Dziczek P. (A),
- 90+5', Twumasi E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Piast Gliwice 37.4% | Draw 29.5% | Jagiellonia Białystok 33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piast Gliwice's performance.Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piast Gliwice that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jagiellonia Białystok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.28 ↓ (2.95) |
2.86 ↓ (3.15) |
2.54 ↑ (2.42) |
18.2% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jagiellonia Białystok will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 0.
- In recent matches, Piast has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Jagiellonia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Piast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Piast: Katsantonis A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Piast won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Piast won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Piast Gliwice has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Piast Gliwice?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
06.04.2025
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Piast Gliwice
1:1
29.09.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
0:1
18.05.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:1
24.11.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Piast Gliwice
0:0
29.01.2023
Piast Gliwice
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:1
Latest results of Piast Gliwice
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
2 | Cracovia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 18 |
3 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
4 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
5 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 17 |
6 | Legia | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
7 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:16 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Zaglebie | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 20:13 | 7 | 13 |
9 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
11 | Rakow | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Widzew Lodz | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Pogon Szczecin | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
14 | Termalica B-B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 9 |
15 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 9 |
16 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18:25 | -7 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1