Result
1:2
14/03/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 25
- Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (442/556) | 70% (219/312) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (442/556) | 70% (219/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (18/40) | 27% (17/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (140/196) | 66% (92/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 59% (10/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.99 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Vallejo H. ⚽, Lokilo J. (A),
- 33', Drapinski I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Twumasi E. ↓, Borowski F. ↑,
- 46', Wdowik B. ↓, Nahuel M. ↑,
- 46', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Pozo A. ↑,
- 53', Juande 🟨,
- 55', Drachal D. ↓, Mazurek B. ↑,
- 55', Bazdar S. ↓, Pululu A. ↑,
- 59', Lokilo J. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
- 59', Felix J. ↓, Sanca L. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 2, Vallejo H. ⚽, Lesniak O. (A),
- 68', Lewicki J. 🟨,
- 72', Barkovskiy G. ↓, Dalmau A. ↑,
- 74', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
- 79', Szmyt K. ↓, Zalewski Z. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 2, Imaz J. ⚽, Mazurek B. (A),
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok
52.4% | Draw
26.2% | Piast Gliwice
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Piast Gliwice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.68) |
3.54 ↑
(3.27) |
4.36 ↓
(4.6) |
7.3%
(11.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Piast Gliwice?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Piast (3.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Jagiellonia Białystok will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jagiellonia Białystok will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Piast (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Piast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Jagiellonia is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Piast Gliwice?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Piast Gliwice has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Piast Gliwice were as follows:
13.09.2025
Piast Gliwice
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:1
06.04.2025
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Piast Gliwice
1:1
29.09.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
0:1
18.05.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:1
24.11.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Piast Gliwice
0:0
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
