Result
1:1
06/04/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 27
- Referee: Araki Y. (Jpn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 4 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.62 | 0.92 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
82% (414/503) | 76% (301/395) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.62 | 0.92 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.27 | 1.59 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
40 | 17 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
82% (414/503) | 76% (301/395) |
Long passes |
---|
57% (25/44) | 43% (26/61) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (108/156) | 68% (77/113) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (5/24) | 21% (3/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.48 | 0.60 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (7/14) | 62% (13/21) |
Duels won |
---|
48 | 41 |
Clearances Total |
---|
17 | 36 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.59 | 1.27 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.59 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Wojtuszek N. ⚽, Imaz J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Jirka E. ↓, Gale T. ↑,
- 54', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Pululu A. ↑,
- 54', Semedo E. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Gale T. ⚽,
- 64', Chrapek M. ↓, Tomasiewicz G. ↑,
- 67', Kubicki J. ↓, Flach L. ↑,
- 86', Miguelito 🟨,
- 90', Szczepanski M. ↓, Mokwa T. ↑,
- 90+1', Drapinski I. 🟨,
- 90+3', Churlinov D. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
- 90+3', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok 44.6% | Draw 29.3% | Piast Gliwice 26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Piast Gliwice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.1 ↑ (2.01) |
3.21 ↓ (3.43) |
3.56 ↓ (3.68) |
6.9% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Piast Gliwice?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Piast (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Users Predictions:
Jagiellonia Białystok will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Jagiellonia won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Jagiellonia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Jagiellonia will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Dieguez A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Piast: Katsantonis A.
(Injury)
Pyrka A.
(Coach's decision)
Zedadka A.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Jagiellonia won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20:22 (average 1:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Jagiellonia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Piast Gliwice?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Piast Gliwice has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Piast Gliwice were as follows:
29.09.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
0:1
18.05.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:1
24.11.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Piast Gliwice
0:0
29.01.2023
Piast Gliwice
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:1
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
3 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
5 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
6 | Legia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
7 | Widzew Lodz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
8 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Pogon Szczecin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
10 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
11 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
12 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
13 | Zaglebie | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
14 | GKS Katowice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
15 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1