Result
1:2
13/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 16', 0 - 1, Chirico C. ⚽,
- 27', 0 - 2, Chirico C. ⚽,
- 39', Maselli S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pugliese S. ↓, Petito F. ↑,
- 46', Energe A. ↓, Bocic M. ↑,
- 62', Malcore G. ↓, Zanaboni E. ↑,
- 62', Millico V. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 65', Esposito E. ↓, Santarcangelo A. ↑,
- 66', Marino A. ↓, Bianchi S. ↑,
- 69', Di Dio F. 🟨,
- 74', Bocic M. 🟨,
- 79', Chirico C. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
- 84', Pistolesi F. 🟨,
- 85', Abreu L. ↓, Santaniello E. ↑,
- 86', Di Dio F. ↓, Gega E. ↑,
- 86', Pinto G. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 2, Santarcangelo A. ⚽,
- 90+7', Maiello R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Picerno
23.8% | Draw
29% | Casarano
47.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Picerno's form might have worsened.Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casarano's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+16.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Picerno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-20%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casarano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Picerno - Casarano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.67 ↑
(2.32) |
4.64 ↑
(2.85) |
2.85 ↓
(3.43) |
-25.7%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Picerno has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Casarano is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Casarano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Picerno might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Picerno won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Picerno won against Casarano?
Picerno has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casarano won against Picerno?
Casarano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Picerno - Casarano were as follows:
Latest results of Picerno
Latest results of Casarano
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salernitana | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 2 | Benevento | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Cosenza | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Casarano | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Catania | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Crotone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Potenza | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Monopoli | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Casertana | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Latina | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Audace Cerignola | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Picerno | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Altamura | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Foggia | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Sorrento | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Giugliano | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Trapani | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 5 |
| 18 | Atalanta U23 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Cavese | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 20 | Siracusa | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4:15 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
