Result
2:1
21/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Kontek I. ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 1, Abreu L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Oukhadda S. 🟨,
- 60', Bianchi S. ↓, Pugliese S. ↑,
- 61', Rillo F. ↓, Pistolesi F. ↑,
- 68', Kallon Y. ↓, Saco C. ↑,
- 72', Kanoute M. ↓, Cardoni K. ↑,
- 72', Guadagni G. ↓, Esposito E. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Casarotto M. ⚽,
- 79', Franco D. ↓, Coppola G. ↑,
- 84', Bentivegna A. ↓, Leone K. ↑,
- 86', Pistolesi F. 🟨,
- 86', Marcone R. 🟨,
- 88', 🟨,
- 90+5', Pezzella S. ↓, Bacchetti L. ↑,
- 90+6', Proia F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Casertana
47.4% | Draw
29.1% | Picerno
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Picerno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casertana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Casertana - Picerno Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.76) |
3.16 ↓
(3.4) |
3.91 ↓
(4.48) |
8.7%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Casertana - Picerno?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Picerno (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Picerno (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 2.
- Casertana is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Picerno is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Picerno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Casertana is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Casertana won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Casertana won against Picerno?
Casertana has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Picerno won against Casertana?
Picerno has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casertana - Picerno were as follows:
11.10.2025
Picerno
-
Casertana
0:2
11.01.2025
Casertana
-
Picerno
0:1
07.09.2024
Picerno
-
Casertana
0:0
14.04.2024
Casertana
-
Picerno
2:1
08.12.2023
Picerno
-
Casertana
0:0
Latest results of Casertana
Latest results of Picerno
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento ✔ | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 71:24 | 47 | 80 |
| 2 | Catania | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 52:21 | 31 | 68 |
| 3 | Casertana | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 54:41 | 13 | 65 |
| 4 | Salernitana | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 63 |
| 5 | Cosenza | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 55:36 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Crotone | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53:34 | 19 | 55 |
| 7 | Casarano ✔ | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 51:55 | -4 | 53 |
| 8 | Monopoli ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 36:39 | -3 | 52 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 | Potenza | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 51:53 | -2 | 47 |
| 11 | Altamura | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 31:44 | -13 | 44 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 51:48 | 3 | 43 |
| 13 | Cavese | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 33:40 | -7 | 37 |
| 14 | Sorrento | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 38:54 | -16 | 37 |
| 15 | Picerno | 35 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 39:52 | -13 | 36 |
| 16 | Latina | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 28:42 | -14 | 36 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 33:50 | -17 | 35 |
| 18 | Foggia | 36 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 27:56 | -29 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 45:54 | -9 | 24 |
| 20 | Trapani | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 45:51 | -6 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Benevento is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
Casarano is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
Monopoli is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
Audace Cerignola is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
