Result
2:1
04/03/2026 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 62% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 80% (39/49) | 74% (45/61) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 67% (24/36) | 45% (17/38) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 57% (4/7) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 26% (16/61) | 27% (13/49) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 55% (21/38) | 33% (12/36) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 50% (1/2) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 37 | 48 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 50% (5/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (63/85) | 63% (62/99) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (37/99) | 26% (22/85) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (100/184) | 46% (84/184) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 94% (15/16) | 79% (11/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 6% (1/16) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 60% (18/30) | 40% (12/30) |
Chances of winning
Pierre-Hugues Herbert 66.1% | Gilles Arnaud Bailly 33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pierre-Hugues Herbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.42 ↑ (1.42) |
|
2.72 ↑ (2.66) |
7% (8.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Gilles Arnaud Bailly?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Herbert will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Bailly will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Herbert (votes: 1 - 50%). Bailly (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Herbert is ranked ATP: 182. Bailly is ranked ATP: 211.
- Herbert is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Bailly has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Herbert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Herbert is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Herbert won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Pierre-Hugues Herbert won against Gilles Arnaud Bailly?
Pierre-Hugues Herbert has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gilles Arnaud Bailly won against Pierre-Hugues Herbert?
Gilles Arnaud Bailly has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Gilles Arnaud Bailly were as follows:
13.10.2024
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
-
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
0:2
Latest results of Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Latest results of Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Glinka D. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Holmgren A. | Smith K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Sels J. (LL) | Kouame M. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Engel J. | Zeppieri G. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Loffhagen G. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Cassone M. (Q) | Broom C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Rodionov J. | Grenier H. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Added D. (Alt) | Krumich M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Blanchet U. (8) | Watanuki Y. (RET.) (Q) | 1 : 1 |
| 10 | Bertola R. (Alt) | Chidekh C. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Herbert P. | Bailly G. A. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Paris T. (WC) | Virtanen O. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Molcan A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tabur C. (Alt) | Nishikori K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Safiullin R. | Skatov T. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Malige M. (WC) | Choinski J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Smith K. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Kouame M. | Zeppieri G. (RET.) (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Cassone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Rodionov J. | Krumich M. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Blanchet U. (8) | Chidekh C. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Herbert P. | Virtanen O. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Nishikori K. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Safiullin R. | Choinski J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Kouame M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ofner S. (4) | Rodionov J. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Blanchet U. (8) | Virtanen O. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Choinski J. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Ofner S. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Virtanen O. (3) | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Ofner S. (4) | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | 2 : 1 |