Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - 1/16-finals

Chances of winning


Pierre-Hugues Herbert
71.7%
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pierre-Hugues Herbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pierre-Hugues Herbert's performance.
  • Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gilles Arnaud Bailly might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pierre-Hugues Herbert that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gilles Arnaud Bailly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.42)

    3.26
    (2.66)
    7.7%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Gilles Arnaud Bailly?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bailly (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Herbert is ranked ATP: 182. Bailly is ranked ATP: 211.
    • Herbert is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Bailly has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Herbert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Herbert is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Herbert won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Gilles Arnaud Bailly were as follows:
    13.10.2024 Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Gilles Arnaud Bailly 0:2
    Latest results of Pierre-Hugues Herbert
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Watanuki Y. (1)Nagel A. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Naw H. (Alt)Broska F. (12)1 : 2
    3Oberleitner N. (Alt)Bouquier A.2 : 1
    4Martineau M.Smith K. (7)0 : 2
    5Gakhov I. (3)Molleker R.0 : 2
    6Kotov P.Krumich M. (11)1 : 2
    7Cassone M. (4)Bertimon M. (WC)2 : 0
    8Lokoli L. (Alt)Zahraj P. (10)2 : 0
    9Broom C. (5)Knaff A. (WC)2 : 1
    10Janvier M. (Alt)Blancaneaux G. (8)0 : 2
    11Nishikori K. (6)Jade D. (WC)2 : 0
    12Trufelli T. (WC)Sels J. (9)0 : 2

    Final
    1Watanuki Y. (1)Broska F. (12)
    2Oberleitner N.Smith K. (7)
    3Molleker R.Krumich M. (11)
    4Cassone M. (4)Lokoli L.
    5Broom C. (5)Blancaneaux G. (8)
    6Nishikori K. (6)Sels J. (9)