Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/03/2026 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
125
Double Faults
24
1st serve percentage
58%62%
1st serve points won
80% (39/49)74% (45/61)
2nd serve points won
67% (24/36)45% (17/38)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)57% (4/7)
1st return points won
26% (16/61)27% (13/49)
2nd return points won
55% (21/38)33% (12/36)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)50% (1/2)
Winners
2824
Unforced errors
3748
Net points won
78% (7/9)50% (5/10)
Service Points Won
74% (63/85)63% (62/99)
Return Points Won
37% (37/99)26% (22/85)
Total Points Won
54% (100/184)46% (84/184)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
94% (15/16)79% (11/14)
Return games won
21% (3/14)6% (1/16)
Total games won
60% (18/30)40% (12/30)

Chances of winning


Pierre-Hugues Herbert
66.1%
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pierre-Hugues Herbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.42)

    2.72
    (2.66)
    7%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Gilles Arnaud Bailly?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Herbert will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Bailly will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Herbert (votes: 1 - 50%). Bailly (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Herbert is ranked ATP: 182. Bailly is ranked ATP: 211.
    • Herbert is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Bailly has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Herbert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Herbert is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Herbert won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Gilles Arnaud Bailly were as follows:
    13.10.2024 Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Gilles Arnaud Bailly 0:2
    Latest results of Pierre-Hugues Herbert
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Glinka D. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Holmgren A.Smith K. (Q)1 : 2
    3Sels J. (LL)Kouame M. (WC)0 : 2
    4Engel J.Zeppieri G. (5)1 : 2
    5Ofner S. (4)Loffhagen G. (Alt)2 : 1
    6Cassone M. (Q)Broom C. (Q)2 : 0
    7Rodionov J.Grenier H. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Added D. (Alt)Krumich M. (Q)0 : 2
    9Blanchet U. (8)Watanuki Y. (RET.) (Q)1 : 1
    10Bertola R. (Alt)Chidekh C.0 : 2
    11Herbert P.Bailly G. A. (Alt)2 : 1
    12Paris T. (WC)Virtanen O. (3)1 : 2
    13Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Molcan A.2 : 0
    14Tabur C. (Alt)Nishikori K. (Q)1 : 2
    15Safiullin R.Skatov T.2 : 0
    16Malige M. (WC)Choinski J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Smith K.2 : 1
    2Kouame M.Zeppieri G. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    3Ofner S. (4)Cassone M.2 : 0
    4Rodionov J.Krumich M.2 : 0
    5Blanchet U. (8)Chidekh C.2 : 0
    6Herbert P.Virtanen O. (3)0 : 2
    7Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Nishikori K.2 : 1
    8Safiullin R.Choinski J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Kouame M.2 : 1
    2Ofner S. (4)Rodionov J.2 : 1
    3Blanchet U. (8)Virtanen O. (3)0 : 2
    4Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Choinski J. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Ofner S. (4)0 : 2
    2Virtanen O. (3)Budkov Kjaer N. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Ofner S. (4)Budkov Kjaer N. (6)2 : 1