Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Guy Den Ouden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/04/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
102
Double Faults
103
1st serve percentage
56%60%
1st serve points won
89% (57/64)71% (40/56)
2nd serve points won
36% (18/50)45% (17/38)
Break Points Saved
10/115/8
1st return points won
29% (16/56)11% (7/64)
2nd return points won
55% (21/38)64% (32/50)
Break Points Converted
3/81/11
Winners
5325
Unforced errors
4836
Net points won
84% (26/31)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
66% (75/114)61% (57/94)
Return Points Won
39% (37/94)34% (39/114)
Total Points Won
54% (112/208)46% (96/208)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
01
Service games won
94% (15/16)79% (11/14)
Return games won
21% (3/14)6% (1/16)
Total games won
60% (18/30)40% (12/30)

Chances of winning


Pierre-Hugues Herbert
38.3%
Guy Den Ouden
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 52.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pierre-Hugues Herbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pierre-Hugues Herbert's form might have worsened.
  • Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guy Den Ouden's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pierre-Hugues Herbert, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guy Den Ouden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Guy Den Ouden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (1.86)

    1.52
    (1.82)
    6.7%
    (8.8%)
    What is the prediction for Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Guy Den Ouden?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Herbert will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Den Ouden will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Herbert is ranked ATP: 225. Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 193.
    • Both players are currently in poor form.
    • Herbert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Den Ouden will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Herbert won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Guy Den Ouden were as follows:
    11.01.2026 Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Guy Den Ouden 2:1
    Latest results of Guy Den Ouden