Ursus Warszawa vs Pilica Białobrzegi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 3 - Group I Ursus Warszawa - Pilica Białobrzegi
Result
3:1
15/04/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 24

Chances of winning


Ursus Warszawa
23.4%
Draw
24.1%
Pilica Białobrzegi
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 26.1% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 25.7% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ursus Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ursus Warszawa's form might have worsened.
  • Pilica Białobrzegi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pilica Białobrzegi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ursus Warszawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pilica Białobrzegi than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pilica Białobrzegi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ursus Warszawa - Pilica Białobrzegi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.85
    (2.55)
    3.74
    (3.5)
    1.72
    (2.4)
    11%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).
    • Ursus Warszawa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Pilica Białobrzegi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Pilica Białobrzegi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Pilica Białobrzegi is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ursus Warszawa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ursus Warszawa - Pilica Białobrzegi were as follows:
    10.09.2022 Pilica Białobrzegi - Ursus Warszawa 0:0
    Latest results of Ursus Warszawa
    Polish Division 3 - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Swit Mazowiecki11003:033
    2Troszyn11002:113
    3LKS Lomza00000:000
    4GKS Belchatow00000:000
    5Legia II00000:000
    6Suwalki00000:000
    7Olimpia Elblag00000:000
    8Mlawa00000:000
    9T. Mazowiecki00000:000
    10Wikielec00000:000
    11Widzew Lodz II00000:000
    12Warta Sieradz00000:000
    13Bron Radom00000:000
    14Jagiellonia II00000:000
    15Biala Piska00000:000
    16Zabki00000:000
    17Plock II10011:2-10
    18Wasilkow10010:3-30

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation