Ursus Warszawa vs Pilica Białobrzegi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 3 - Group I Ursus Warszawa - Pilica Białobrzegi
Result
3:1
15/04/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 24

Chances of winning


Ursus Warszawa
23.4%
Draw
24.1%
Pilica Białobrzegi
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 26.1% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 25.7% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ursus Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ursus Warszawa's form might have worsened.
  • Pilica Białobrzegi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pilica Białobrzegi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ursus Warszawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pilica Białobrzegi than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pilica Białobrzegi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ursus Warszawa - Pilica Białobrzegi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.85
    (2.55)
    3.74
    (3.5)
    1.72
    (2.4)
    11%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).
    • Ursus Warszawa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Pilica Białobrzegi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Pilica Białobrzegi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Pilica Białobrzegi is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ursus Warszawa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ursus Warszawa - Pilica Białobrzegi were as follows:
    10.09.2022 Pilica Białobrzegi - Ursus Warszawa 0:0
    Latest results of Ursus Warszawa
    Polish Division 3 - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LKS Lomza440014:5912
    2Legia II431011:4710
    3Zabki430112:759
    4T. Mazowiecki421110:647
    5Olimpia Elblag42117:617
    6Plock II42028:536
    7Warta Sieradz42027:436
    8Widzew Lodz II420212:1026
    9Suwalki42026:606
    10Swit Mazowiecki42026:8-26
    11GKS Belchatow41219:11-25
    12Wikielec41126:7-14
    13Mlawa41126:12-64
    14Jagiellonia II41125:6-14
    15Bron Radom40317:9-23
    16Troszyn41036:8-23
    17Wasilkow41032:11-93
    18Biala Piska40134:13-91

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation