Pineto vs SPAL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Pineto - SPAL
Result
3:2
23/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
620
Shots on Goal
46
Shots off Goal
214
Corner Kicks
08
Goalkeeper Saves
41
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Germinario G. ,
  • 18', 2 - 0, Bruzzaniti G. ,
  • 31', Bassoli A. , Rao E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', D'Orazio L. , Haoudi H. ,
  • 46', Molina J. I. , Antenucci M. ,
  • 52', Fiordaliso A. 🟨,
  • 58', Parigini V. , Karlsson O. ,
  • 59', Nador S. 🟨,
  • 62', Gambale D. , Fabrizi L. ,
  • 62', Tunjov G. , Marrancone A. ,
  • 68', Germinario G. , Nebuloso G. ,
  • 68', Baggi F. , Hadziosmanovic C. ,
  • 72', Zammarini R. 🟨,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Karlsson O. ,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Karlsson O. ,
  • 80', Rao E. , Awua T. ,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Nador S. (Own goal),
  • 86', Lombardi L. , Ienco S. ,
  • 90+1', Borsoi M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bruzzaniti G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pineto
38%
Draw
29.3%
SPAL
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 26.8% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 25.6% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pineto's form might have worsened.
  • SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPAL's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pineto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPAL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pineto - SPAL Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (1.98)
    3.15
    (3.44)
    2.81
    (3.46)
    8.6%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Pineto - SPAL?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pineto will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). SPAL will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Pineto is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • SPAL is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Pineto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Pineto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pineto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pineto - SPAL were as follows:
    10.11.2024 SPAL - Pineto 2:1
    21.04.2024 SPAL - Pineto 2:0
    16.12.2023 Pineto - SPAL 1:1
    Latest results of Pineto
    15.03.2025 Carpi - Pineto 1:1
    11.03.2025 Pineto - Milan Futuro 2:1
    08.03.2025 Ascoli - Pineto 0:1
    02.03.2025 Campobasso - Pineto 1:3
    21.02.2025 Pineto - Vis Pesaro 1:1
    Latest results of SPAL
    11.03.2025 Pianese - SPAL 0:1
    07.03.2025 SPAL - Arezzo 0:2
    01.03.2025 Pescara - SPAL 1:1
    22.02.2025 SPAL - Campobasso 1:2
    16.02.2025 SPAL - Rimini 0:3
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo11001:013
    2Sambenedettese11001:013
    3Torres11001:013
    4Livorno11001:013
    5Ascoli10100:001
    6Perugia10100:001
    7Vis Pesaro10101:101
    8Carpi10101:101
    9Pianese10100:001
    10Pineto10101:101
    11Juventus U2310101:101
    12Guidonia10100:001
    13Ravenna00000:000
    14Rimini00000:000
    15Gubbio00000:000
    16Campobasso00000:000
    17Ternana10010:1-10
    18Forli10010:1-10
    19Pontedera10010:1-10
    20Bra10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation