Result
3:2
23/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 14 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Germinario G. ⚽,
- 18', 2 - 0, Bruzzaniti G. ⚽,
- 31', Bassoli A. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', D'Orazio L. ↓, Haoudi H. ↑,
- 46', Molina J. I. ↓, Antenucci M. ↑,
- 52', Fiordaliso A. 🟨,
- 58', Parigini V. ↓, Karlsson O. ↑,
- 59', Nador S. 🟨,
- 62', Gambale D. ↓, Fabrizi L. ↑,
- 62', Tunjov G. ↓, Marrancone A. ↑,
- 68', Germinario G. ↓, Nebuloso G. ↑,
- 68', Baggi F. ↓, Hadziosmanovic C. ↑,
- 72', Zammarini R. 🟨,
- 77', 2 - 1, Karlsson O. ⚽,
- 78', 2 - 2, Karlsson O. ⚽,
- 80', Rao E. ↓, Awua T. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 2, Nador S. (Own goal),
- 86', Lombardi L. ↓, Ienco S. ↑,
- 90+1', Borsoi M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Bruzzaniti G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pineto
38% | Draw
29.3% | SPAL
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pineto's form might have worsened.SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPAL's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pineto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPAL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pineto - SPAL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(1.98) |
3.15 ↓
(3.44) |
2.81 ↓
(3.46) |
8.6%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pineto - SPAL?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Pineto will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). SPAL will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- Pineto is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- SPAL is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Pineto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Pineto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Pineto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
How many head-to-head matches has Pineto won against SPAL?
Pineto has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Pineto?
SPAL has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pineto - SPAL were as follows:
10.11.2024
SPAL
-
Pineto
2:1
21.04.2024
SPAL
-
Pineto
2:0
16.12.2023
Pineto
-
SPAL
1:1
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 54:20 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 65 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 45:30 | 15 | 61 |
| 4 | Pineto | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 48 |
| 5 | Campobasso | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 43:35 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Pianese | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Juventus U23 | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 39:38 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Vis Pesaro | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 32:29 | 3 | 43 |
| 10 | Ternana | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 37:31 | 6 | 43 |
| 11 | Livorno | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 33:46 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 25:28 | -3 | 36 |
| 13 | Forli | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 35 |
| 14 | Carpi | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 30:42 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Perugia | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
| 16 | Torres | 32 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 28:41 | -13 | 31 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 29 |
| 18 | Bra | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32:49 | -17 | 26 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 31 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 26:55 | -29 | 19 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
