Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Paulista - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Gustavo L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Carlos Manuel 🟨,
- 62', David Ribeiro ↓, Erik Bessa ↑,
- 63', Carlos Manuel ↓, Djavan ↑,
- 66', Luis Felipe ↓, Almir Luan ↑,
- 70', Erik Bessa 🟨,
- 73', Wellington 🟨,
- 79', Wellington 🟥,
- 85', Mian F. ↓, Gabriel Barros ↑,
- 85', Franklin ↓, Mascaro A. ↑,
- 88', Leo Santos ↓, Natan ↑,
- 88', Michel ↓, Iago ↑,
Chances of winning
Piracicaba
67.1% | Draw
21.7% | Comercial SP
11.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piracicaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piracicaba's performance.Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Comercial SP might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (-18.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piracicaba that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comercial SP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Piracicaba - Comercial SP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.87) |
4.5 ↑
(3.02) |
8.79 ↑
(4.29) |
2.2%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piracicaba won 3.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- In this match, Piracicaba is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Piracicaba won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Piracicaba won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Piracicaba won against Comercial SP?
Piracicaba has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comercial SP won against Piracicaba?
Comercial SP has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Piracicaba - Comercial SP were as follows:
19.09.2025
Comercial SP
-
Piracicaba
1:1
03.03.2024
Comercial SP
-
Piracicaba
1:4
01.03.2023
Piracicaba
-
Comercial SP
1:0
Latest results of Piracicaba
Latest results of Comercial SP
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Piracicaba | AEA Aracatuba | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa Santista | Oeste | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Sao Jose EC | Sao Bento | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Comercial | Inter de Limeira | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Uniao Sao Joao | Noroeste | 3 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Primavera | Paulista | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Gremio Prudente | Sao Caetano | 2 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Monte Azul | Francana | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Piracicaba | Oeste | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Sao Jose EC | Comercial | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Uniao Sao Joao | Primavera | 0 : 2, 0 : 4 |
| 4 | Gremio Prudente | Francana | 3 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Piracicaba | Comercial | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Primavera | Gremio Prudente | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Piracicaba | Primavera | 0 : 1 |
