Pistoiese vs Ancona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
18/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Coppa Italia Serie D - Final

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Rizq K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 67', 2 - 0, Russo F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+3', Kouko D. 🟥,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Pistoiese
44.7%
Draw
31.1%
Ancona
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 30% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 30.5% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pistoiese's performance.
  • Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ancona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pistoiese that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ancona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pistoiese - Ancona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.32)
    2.86
    (3.01)
    3.79
    (2.89)
    10.5%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pistoiese won 1.
    • Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
    • Pistoiese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Pistoiese has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pistoiese won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pistoiese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
    Latest results of Pistoiese
    14.02.2026 Pistoiese - Tuttocuoio 2:1
    08.02.2026 Pro Palazzolo - Pistoiese 0:0
    01.02.2026 Pistoiese - Piacenza 1:0
    21.01.2026 Pistoiese - Club Milano 1:0
    Latest results of Ancona
    15.02.2026 Ancona - Chieti 4:1
    08.02.2026 Recanatese - Ancona 2:4
    01.02.2026 Ancona - Castelfidardo 2:0
    25.01.2026 San Marino Calcio - Ancona 0:2
    21.01.2026 Francavilla - Ancona 0:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1AstiChisola2 : 0
    2LigornaNovaRomentin1 : 2
    3VadoSestri Levante3 : 0
    4TauPistoiese1 : 3
    5PiacenzaSCD Progresso2 : 1
    6PaviaSant'Angelo2 : 0
    7PratoMontevarchi2 : 1
    8CorreggeseImolese2 : 1
    9SondrioBreno1 : 0
    10Folgore CarateseClub Milano2 : 3
    11AC Milan U23Varesina2 : 3
    12BrusaportoCiserano-Bergamo0 : 1
    13ChievoRovato Vertovese0 : 1
    14EsteVigasio3 : 2
    15Cjarlins MuzaneBrian Lignano1 : 2
    16LuparenseMestre0 : 1
    17FossombroneAncona0 : 1
    18FolignoAtletico Ascoli0 : 2
    19OrvietanaSiena2 : 0
    20Follonica GavorranoValmontone0 : 1
    21Notaresco CalcioTermoli2 : 0
    22AlbalongaL Aquila2 : 1
    23GrossetoUnipomezia0 : 1
    24Trastevere CalcioBudoni2 : 0
    25Martina CalcioSarnese3 : 1
    26FerrandinaFrancavilla2 : 3
    27SavoiaPaganese2 : 1
    28Citta di FasanoGravina3 : 0
    29NocerinaGelbison4 : 2
    30SambiaseReggina0 : 1
    31CastrumfavaraIgea Virtus3 : 1
    32EnnaSancataldese0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1AstiNovaRomentin3 : 2
    2VadoPistoiese0 : 3
    3PiacenzaPavia2 : 1
    4PratoCorreggese1 : 4
    5SondrioClub Milano0 : 3
    6VaresinaCiserano-Bergamo4 : 1
    7Rovato VertoveseEste1 : 3
    8Brian LignanoMestre0 : 1
    9AnconaAtletico Ascoli1 : 0
    10OrvietanaValmontone0 : 1
    11Notaresco CalcioAlbalonga2 : 1
    12UnipomeziaTrastevere Calcio3 : 1
    13Martina CalcioFrancavilla1 : 2
    14SavoiaCitta di Fasano3 : 4
    15NocerinaReggina3 : 2
    16CastrumfavaraSancataldese3 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1AstiPistoiese1 : 3
    2PiacenzaCorreggese0 : 1
    3Club MilanoVaresina1 : 0
    4EsteMestre1 : 2
    5AnconaValmontone2 : 1
    6Notaresco CalcioUnipomezia0 : 1
    7FrancavillaCitta di Fasano3 : 2
    8NocerinaCastrumfavara2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1PistoieseCorreggese2 : 0
    2Club MilanoMestre1 : 0
    3AnconaUnipomezia2 : 1
    4FrancavillaNocerina1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1PistoieseClub Milano1 : 0, 2 : 1
    2AnconaFrancavilla1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1PistoieseAncona2 : 0