Bagnolese vs Pistoiese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group D Bagnolese - Pistoiese
12/02/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Bagnolese
24.6%
Draw
28.9%
Pistoiese
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20% 27.3% 52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1% 27.2% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bagnolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Pistoiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pistoiese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bagnolese than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pistoiese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bagnolese - Pistoiese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.68
    (4.45)
    3.13
    (3.27)
    1.94
    (1.69)
    10.6%
    (12.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bagnolese - Pistoiese were as follows:
    09.10.2022 Pistoiese - Bagnolese 0:0
    Latest results of Bagnolese
    08.02.2023 Forlì - Bagnolese 2:1
    05.02.2023 Bagnolese - AC Carpi 0:0
    29.01.2023 Salsomaggiore - Bagnolese 0:2
    25.01.2023 Bagnolese - Mezzolara 2:0
    21.01.2023 Sammaurese - Bagnolese 0:2
    Latest results of Pistoiese
    08.02.2023 Pistoiese - Prato 2:0
    29.01.2023 Pistoiese - Giana Erminio 1:1
    25.01.2023 Pistoiese - SantAngelo 2:2
    22.01.2023 Crema - Pistoiese 0:1
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1