Pistoiese vs Corticella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group D Pistoiese - Corticella
Result
5:0
27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group D - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Kharmoud A. ,
  • 5', 2 - 0, Pinzauti L. ,
  • 13', 3 - 0, Polvani L. ,
  • 39', 4 - 0, Sparacello C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 87', 5 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Pistoiese
70.2%
Draw
18.7%
Corticella
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.4% 21% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 18.8% 16.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pistoiese's performance.
  • Corticella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pistoiese that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corticella than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corticella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pistoiese - Corticella Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.41)
    4.88
    (4.33)
    8.29
    (6.23)
    9.3%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).
    • Pistoiese is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs )
    • Recent matches Pistoiese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Corticella is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Corticella could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Pistoiese is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pistoiese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pistoiese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pistoiese - Corticella were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Corticella - Pistoiese 0:1
    16.12.2023 Corticella - Pistoiese 0:0
    14.05.2023 Pistoiese - Corticella 1:2
    06.04.2023 Corticella - Pistoiese 2:1
    27.11.2022 Pistoiese - Corticella 2:0
    Latest results of Pistoiese
    17.04.2025 Forlì - Pistoiese 1:0
    12.04.2025 Pistoiese - Zenith Prato 0:1
    23.03.2025 Piacenza - Pistoiese 0:1
    Latest results of Corticella
    17.04.2025 Corticella - Prato 0:3
    13.04.2025 Tuttocuoio - Corticella 1:1
    06.04.2025 Corticella - Lentigione 0:4
    30.03.2025 Ravenna - Corticella 5:2
    23.03.2025 Corticella - Fiorenzuola 2:1
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1