Pittsburgh Pirates vs Tampa Bay Rays – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
02/03/2026 at 13:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MLB - Spring Training

Match Stats

Hits
84
Errors
11
2B - double
02
3B - triple
00
Home runs
20
Runs batted in
32
Left on base
52
Base on balls
24
Strikeouts
97
Stolen bases
00
At bat
3130
Batting average
0.2580.133

Chances of winning


Pittsburgh Pirates
60.5%
Tampa Bay Rays
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 47.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pittsburgh Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pittsburgh Pirates's performance.
  • Tampa Bay Rays has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampa Bay Rays might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pittsburgh Pirates that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Rays could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pittsburgh Pirates - Tampa Bay Rays Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.77)

    2.4
    (2.03)
    5.5%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 9.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates - Tampa Bay Rays?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 6:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 2.
    • Pittsburgh is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tampa Bay's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 72:94. (average 3.6:4.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:41. (average 4.9:5.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pittsburgh Pirates - Tampa Bay Rays were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rays - Pittsburgh Pirates 2:4
    01.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rays - Pittsburgh Pirates 7:0
    31.03.2025 Tampa Bay Rays - Pittsburgh Pirates 6:1
    19.03.2025 Tampa Bay Rays - Pittsburgh Pirates 5:2
    28.02.2025 Pittsburgh Pirates - Tampa Bay Rays 3:2
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rays
    MLB Spring Training Table
    2026

    Grapefruit
    PlWDLPCT
    1Atlanta Braves16112396:700.786
    2Pittsburgh Pirates16110593:700.688
    3New York Yankees15100590:600.667
    4Washington Nationals1583462:550.667
    5St.Louis Cardinals1691673:700.600
    6New York Mets1371559:450.583
    7Boston Red Sox1680892:1080.500
    8Baltimore Orioles1772864:840.467
    9Miami Marlins1461748:640.462
    10Toronto Blue Jays1662878:730.429
    11Houston Astros1653859:600.385
    12Tampa Bay Rays17611064:760.375
    13Philadelphia Phillies16511077:820.333
    14Detroit Tigers1534872:870.273
    15Minnesota Twins16411177:1000.267


    Cactus
    PlWDLPCT
    1San Francisco Giants151302112:670.867
    2Los Angeles Dodgers161006109:870.625
    3Chicago White Sox17100792:690.588
    4Colorado Rockies1581698:940.571
    5Milwaukee Brewers1580787:730.533
    6San Diego Padres16808105:790.500
    7Cleveland Guardians17818100:890.500
    8Texas Rangers1680888:810.500
    9Cincinnati Reds1470797:1090.500
    10Chicago Cubs1670970:880.438
    11Arizona Diamondbacks1670983:1090.438
    12Kansas City Royals1561890:880.429
    13Los Angeles Angels18701182:1190.389
    14Athletics16601082:1000.375
    15Seattle Mariners16411183:1260.267