Platges de Calvià vs Formentera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 20

Chances of winning


Platges de Calvià
39.5%
Draw
30.5%
Formentera
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 28.1% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 27.8% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Platges de Calvià has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Platges de Calvià's form might have worsened.
  • Formentera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Platges de Calvià, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Platges de Calvià - Formentera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.04)
    2.98
    (3.25)
    3.03
    (3.35)
    10.1%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Platges de Calvià - Formentera?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Platges de Calvià will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platges de Calvià won 2.
    • Recent form of Platges de Calvià has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Formentera has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Platges de Calvià might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Platges de Calvià won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Platges de Calvià won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Platges de Calvià - Formentera were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Formentera - Platges de Calvià 2:2
    12.04.2025 Formentera - Platges de Calvià 3:0
    30.11.2024 Platges de Calvià - Formentera 0:1
    Latest results of Platges de Calvià
    Latest results of Formentera
    01.03.2026 Santanyí - Formentera 1:1
    22.02.2026 Formentera - Son Cladera 1:0
    15.02.2026 Alcúdia - Formentera 1:0
    08.02.2026 Formentera - Mallorca B 0:0
    25.01.2026 Constancia - Formentera 2:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mallorca B24193267:145360
    2Manacor24193252:242860
    3Pena Deportiva23155346:182850
    4Llosetense24126640:291142
    5Constancia23114831:211037
    6Mercadal21103821:19233
    7Inter Ibiza231031028:30-233
    8Cardassar2496926:38-1233
    9Binissalem2478916:23-729
    10Santanyi24851131:44-1329
    11Alcudia24921324:41-1729
    12Formentera23610720:20028
    13Platges de Calvia23841128:29-128
    14Son Cladera23741225:34-925
    15Portmany23731318:31-1324
    16Felanitx24481219:33-1420
    17Rotlet Molinar23351521:43-2214
    18Collerense23181425:47-2211

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