Result
1:3
07/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 40
- Referee: Edwards M. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Morecambe 19% | Draw 23.9% | Plymouth Argyle 57.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morecambe's form might have worsened.Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plymouth Argyle's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morecambe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plymouth Argyle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Morecambe - Plymouth Argyle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5 ↑ (3.7) |
3.95 ↑ (3.5) |
1.65 ↓ (1.95) |
6.1% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Morecambe - Plymouth Argyle?
Users Predictions:
Plymouth Argyle will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- Morecambe has the most likely position - 23 (51.47%), project points - 38, currently - 34, a very good chance of relegated (98%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Plymouth has the most likely position - 1 (40.4%), project points - 95, currently - 80, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), a good chance of promoted (72%), a chance of win league (40%).
- This event has small quality 15, importance 55, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 0.
- Morecambe has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Plymouth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Plymouth is a favorite.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 12-27.
- Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.
How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Plymouth Argyle?
Morecambe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Morecambe?
Plymouth Argyle has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
17.12.2022
Plymouth Argyle
-
Morecambe
2:1
Latest results of Morecambe
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 19:15 | 4 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Mansfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18:18 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Luton | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | Barnsley | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 18 |
| 13 | Wigan | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 |
| 15 | Rotherham | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Northampton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10:13 | -3 | 17 |
| 17 | Wycombe | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 16 |
| 18 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 19 | Reading | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 | Burton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 15 |
| 21 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 12 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two