Result
1:3
07/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 40
- Referee: Edwards M. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Morecambe 19% | Draw 23.9% | Plymouth Argyle 57.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morecambe's form might have worsened.Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plymouth Argyle's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morecambe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plymouth Argyle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Morecambe - Plymouth Argyle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5 ↑ (3.7) |
3.95 ↑ (3.5) |
1.65 ↓ (1.95) |
6.1% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Morecambe - Plymouth Argyle?
Users Predictions:
Plymouth Argyle will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- Morecambe has the most likely position - 23 (51.47%), project points - 38, currently - 34, a very good chance of relegated (98%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Plymouth has the most likely position - 1 (40.4%), project points - 95, currently - 80, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), a good chance of promoted (72%), a chance of win league (40%).
- This event has small quality 15, importance 55, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 0.
- Morecambe has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Plymouth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Plymouth is a favorite.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 12-27.
- Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.
How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Plymouth Argyle?
Morecambe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Morecambe?
Plymouth Argyle has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
17.12.2022
Plymouth Argyle
-
Morecambe
2:1
Latest results of Morecambe
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Stevenage | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 25 |
2 | Bradford City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Cardiff | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 23 |
4 | Lincoln | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
6 | Huddersfield | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Stockport County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Bolton | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 17 |
9 | Barnsley | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
10 | Doncaster | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 17 |
11 | Luton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
12 | Mansfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
13 | Northampton | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 14 |
14 | Wigan | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
15 | Plymouth | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
16 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
17 | Exeter | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
19 | Reading | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
20 | Wycombe | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 9 |
21 | Burton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 9 |
22 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
23 | Blackpool | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 8 |
24 | Peterborough | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two