Result
1:3
07/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 40
- Referee: Edwards M. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Morecambe 19% | Draw 23.9% | Plymouth Argyle 57.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morecambe's form might have worsened.Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plymouth Argyle's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morecambe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plymouth Argyle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Morecambe - Plymouth Argyle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5 ↑ (3.7) |
3.95 ↑ (3.5) |
1.65 ↓ (1.95) |
6.1% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Morecambe - Plymouth Argyle?
Users Predictions:
Plymouth Argyle will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- Morecambe has the most likely position - 23 (51.47%), project points - 38, currently - 34, a very good chance of relegated (98%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Plymouth has the most likely position - 1 (40.4%), project points - 95, currently - 80, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), a good chance of promoted (72%), a chance of win league (40%).
- This event has small quality 15, importance 55, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 0.
- Morecambe has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Plymouth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Plymouth is a favorite.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 12-27.
- Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.
How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Plymouth Argyle?
Morecambe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Morecambe?
Plymouth Argyle has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
17.12.2022
Plymouth Argyle
-
Morecambe
2:1
Latest results of Morecambe
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two