Morecambe vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Morecambe - Plymouth Argyle
Result
1:3
07/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 40
  • Referee: Edwards M. (Eng)

Chances of winning


Morecambe
19%
Draw
23.9%
Plymouth Argyle
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.3% 26.7% 48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8% 26.2% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morecambe's form might have worsened.
  • Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plymouth Argyle's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morecambe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plymouth Argyle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Morecambe - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5
    (3.7)
    3.95
    (3.5)
    1.65
    (1.95)
    6.1%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Morecambe - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: Plymouth Argyle will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
    • Morecambe has the most likely position - 23 (51.47%), project points - 38, currently - 34, a very good chance of relegated (98%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Plymouth has the most likely position - 1 (40.4%), project points - 95, currently - 80, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), a good chance of promoted (72%), a chance of win league (40%).
    • This event has small quality 15, importance 55, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 0.
    • Morecambe has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Plymouth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Plymouth is a favorite.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 12-27.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    17.12.2022 Plymouth Argyle - Morecambe 2:1
    Latest results of Morecambe
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1382321:111026
    2Stevenage1282218:10826
    3Bradford City1375123:16726
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1481519:15425
    6Lincoln1373318:11724
    7Bolton1465319:15423
    8Mansfield1354419:15419
    9Huddersfield1361618:18019
    10Luton1361615:15019
    11Barnsley1253418:17118
    12Doncaster1453613:19-618
    13Wigan1445517:18-117
    14Leyton Orient1452721:23-217
    15Rotherham1352613:16-317
    16Northampton1452710:13-317
    17Wycombe1444618:16216
    18Exeter1451814:14016
    19Reading1436515:19-415
    20Burton1343611:16-515
    21Port Vale1334611:12-113
    22Plymouth1341817:23-613
    23Blackpool1433813:22-912
    24Peterborough1331910:22-1210

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two