Poblense vs Alaior – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
23/12/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 15

Chances of winning


Poblense
70.8%
Draw
18.7%
Alaior
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.1% 22.4% 14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 22.1% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Poblense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poblense's performance.
  • Alaior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poblense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alaior than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Poblense - Alaior Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.44)
    4.87
    (4.05)
    8.71
    (6.25)
    9.5%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 14).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Alaior could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Poblense is certain favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Poblense
    16.12.2023 Portmany - Poblense 1:1
    02.12.2023 Poblense - Mallorca B 0:0
    18.11.2023 Constancia - Poblense 0:1
    11.11.2023 Poblense - Collerense 0:0
    Latest results of Alaior
    02.12.2023 Collerense - Alaior 2:0
    26.11.2023 Alaior - Arenal 2:1
    18.11.2023 Binissalem - Alaior 0:2
    12.11.2023 Alaior - Inter Manacor 3:1
    29.10.2023 Alaior - Felanitx 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Manacor23192251:232859
    2Mallorca B23183264:145057
    3Pena Deportiva22154345:172849
    4Llosetense23116636:28839
    5Constancia22104830:21934
    6Cardassar2396826:35-933
    7Mercadal20102820:18232
    8Inter Ibiza22931026:29-330
    9Binissalem2378816:22-629
    10Alcudia23921224:38-1429
    11Platges de Calvia22841027:26128
    12Santanyi23841130:43-1328
    13Formentera2269719:19027
    14Son Cladera22641222:33-1122
    15Portmany22631315:31-1621
    16Felanitx23471218:32-1419
    17Rotlet Molinar22351420:39-1914
    18Collerense22181324:45-2111

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation