Changwon City vs Pocheon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • K3 League - Round 18

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
77
Corner Kicks
22
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
22
Goalkeeper Saves
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 56', 0 - 1, ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+8', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Changwon City
27.8%
Draw
28.8%
Pocheon
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 30.1% 43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 29.4% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Changwon City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Pocheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pocheon than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Changwon City - Pocheon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.28
    (3.5)
    3.17
    (3.1)
    2.1
    (2.15)
    9.6%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changwon won 0.
    • In recent matches, Changwon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Pocheon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Changwon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Pocheon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Changwon won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.7:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Changwon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Changwon City - Pocheon were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Pocheon - Changwon City 1:0
    27.07.2024 Changwon City - Pocheon 0:0
    13.04.2024 Pocheon - Changwon City 1:1
    11.11.2023 Changwon City - Pocheon 0:0
    17.06.2023 Pocheon - Changwon City 0:0
    Latest results of Changwon City
    Latest results of Pocheon
    12.07.2025 Chuncheon - Pocheon 0:1
    06.07.2025 Paju Frontier - Pocheon 0:4
    29.06.2025 Pocheon - Gangneung City 3:1
    21.06.2025 Gimhae - Pocheon 1:2
    15.06.2025 Pocheon - Daejeon Korail 2:6
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1MokpoNamyangju1 : 0