Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała vs Warta Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
919
Shots on target
814
Corner Kicks
69
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
919
Shots on target
814
Shots off target
15
Corner Kicks
69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Smoczynski M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Kolanko K. , Zawada O. ,
  • 46', Takac D. , Sitek M. ,
  • 46', Szumilas W. , Urynowicz M. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Kizyma M. ,
  • 48', Majsterek J. 🟨,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Gorski M. ,
  • 60', Zalewski S. , Rychert K. ,
  • 60', Smoczynski M. , Stanek M. ,
  • 69', Niedzielski J. , Steblecki S. ,
  • 69', Kumoch K. , Dziedzic K. ,
  • 75', Zawada O. 🟨,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Stanek M. ,
  • 88', 2 - 3, Rychert K. ,
  • 90+5', Biernat M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Wojcinowicz T. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Kizyma M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
37.7%
Draw
28.3%
Warta Poznań
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 27.1% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 27.8% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała's form might have worsened.
  • Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Warta Poznań's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Warta Poznań, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Warta Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (1.98)
    3.34
    (3.3)
    2.77
    (3.21)
    5.9%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Podbeskidzie won 1.
    • Podbeskidzie has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Warta is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Podbeskidzie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Warta has had a series of home games.
    • Podbeskidzie could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Podbeskidzie won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Podbeskidzie won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Polish Division 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skierniewice19132438:201841
    2Warta Poznan19115332:211138
    3Ol. Grudziadz20107339:271237
    4Podhale Nowy Targ2098325:17835
    5Swit Szczecin1995537:32532
    6R. Rzeszow2077627:24328
    7Podbeskidzie2084833:31228
    8Sandecja Nowy S1976626:28-227
    9S. Wola1968538:31726
    10Kleczew1966735:32324
    11Chojniczanka1966730:29124
    12Slask Wroclaw II2066833:34-124
    13Zaglebie Sosnowiec1965822:29-723
    14Hutnik Krakow2056927:32-521
    15Bielsko-Biala1956827:35-821
    16KKS Kalisz1947821:27-619
    17LKS Lodz II19271019:35-1613
    18GKS Jastrzebie19071216:41-257

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