Podhale Nowy Targ vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 2 Podhale Nowy Targ - Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Result
1:1
23/08/2025 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
135
Shots on target
73
Corner Kicks
85
Yellow Cards
04
Total shots
135
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
85
Goalkeeper Saves
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Purcha B. ,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Shikavka Y. ,
  • 40', Gryszkiewicz A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 67', Borun B. , Ronnberg L. ,
  • 67', Zawojski B. , Bazler M. ,
  • 67', Agbor E. , Skora K. ,
  • 71', Purcha B. , Pena C. ,
  • 71', Rubis J. , Mikolajczyk B. ,
  • 72', Kurtovic R. 🟨,
  • 78', Marcinho , Giel P. ,
  • 79', Pawlowski J. 🟨,
  • 80', Rakels D. , Mucha P. ,
  • 84', Gryszkiewicz A. , Checinski B. ,
  • 90+4', Checinski B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Podhale Nowy Targ
45.8%
Draw
28%
Zagłębie Sosnowiec
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 27.3% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 26.6% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Podhale Nowy Targ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Podhale Nowy Targ's performance.
  • Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zagłębie Sosnowiec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Podhale Nowy Targ that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zagłębie Sosnowiec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Podhale Nowy Targ - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.48)
    3.51
    (3.3)
    3.75
    (2.48)
    1.7%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Podhale has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Zagłębie Sosnowiec has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Polish Division 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hutnik Krakow632114:10411
    2Sandecja Nowy S632111:8311
    3Skierniewice631214:8610
    4R. Rzeszow624013:7610
    5Podhale Nowy Targ62408:4410
    6S. Wola623112:939
    7Ol. Grudziadz623110:919
    8KKS Kalisz62229:818
    9Swit Szczecin52218:808
    10Podbeskidzie62228:11-38
    11Bielsko-Biala62228:11-38
    12Slask Wroclaw II61328:9-16
    13Chojniczanka61328:10-26
    14Zaglebie Sosnowiec61328:14-66
    15Kleczew51227:8-15
    16LKS Lodz II61235:8-35
    17Warta Poznan60426:8-24
    18GKS Jastrzebie60246:13-72

          Promotion ~ Division 1
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
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