Città di Castello vs Poggibonsi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group E Città di Castello - Poggibonsi
Result
1:2
12/03/2023 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 27

Chances of winning


Città di Castello
32.3%
Draw
29.6%
Poggibonsi
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.7% 27.2% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 26.6% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Città di Castello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Poggibonsi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Poggibonsi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Castello than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Poggibonsi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Città di Castello - Poggibonsi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (3.25)
    3.05
    (3.31)
    2.36
    (1.99)
    10.9%
    (11.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs)).
    • Città di Castello has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Poggibonsi is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Poggibonsi will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Città di Castello won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Città di Castello - Poggibonsi were as follows:
    06.11.2022 Poggibonsi - Città di Castello 5:0
    Latest results of Città di Castello
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1