Montespaccato vs Poggibonsi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group E Montespaccato - Poggibonsi
Result
2:4
01/04/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 29

Chances of winning


Montespaccato
20.9%
Draw
23.7%
Poggibonsi
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 27.3% 45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2% 26.3% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montespaccato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montespaccato's form might have worsened.
  • Poggibonsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Poggibonsi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montespaccato than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montespaccato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Poggibonsi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Montespaccato - Poggibonsi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.32
    (3.23)
    3.79
    (3.21)
    1.63
    (1.93)
    11.1%
    (13.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent matches Montespaccato is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Poggibonsi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Montespaccato could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Poggibonsi will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Montespaccato won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Montespaccato won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montespaccato - Poggibonsi were as follows:
    20.11.2022 Poggibonsi - Montespaccato 1:0
    Latest results of Montespaccato
    Latest results of Poggibonsi
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1