San Donato Tavarnelle vs Poggibonsi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
22/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group E - Round 25

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 38', 0 - 1, Boriosi M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', 🟥,

Chances of winning


San Donato Tavarnelle
40.6%
Draw
30.3%
Poggibonsi
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 26.9% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50% 27.4% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Donato Tavarnelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Donato Tavarnelle's form might have worsened.
  • Poggibonsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Poggibonsi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Donato Tavarnelle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Poggibonsi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Donato Tavarnelle - Poggibonsi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (1.85)
    2.99
    (3.38)
    3.13
    (3.8)
    10.1%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for San Donato Tavarnelle - Poggibonsi?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. San Donato (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Donato won 3.
    • Recent form of San Donato has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Poggibonsi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • San Donato is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, San Donato won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Donato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Donato Tavarnelle - Poggibonsi were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Poggibonsi - San Donato Tavarnelle 0:1
    13.10.2024 Poggibonsi - San Donato Tavarnelle 2:1
    03.03.2024 San Donato Tavarnelle - Poggibonsi 2:0
    28.10.2023 Poggibonsi - San Donato Tavarnelle 1:0
    Latest results of San Donato Tavarnelle
    Latest results of Poggibonsi
    15.02.2026 Poggibonsi - Foligno 1:0
    08.02.2026 Prato - Poggibonsi 2:1
    01.02.2026 Poggibonsi - Ghiviborgo 1:0
    18.01.2026 Poggibonsi - Siena 1:0
    Italian Serie D - Group E Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grosseto26202449:173262
    2Seravezza Pozzi26148435:191650
    3Tau26147541:221949
    4Siena26135834:201444
    5Terranuova Traiana26126822:22042
    6Prato26134935:26941
    7Foligno26117838:31740
    8Scandicci26812628:21736
    9Montevarchi26811723:29-635
    10Ghiviborgo2689938:34433
    11Trestina26961130:31-133
    12San Donato26612823:28-530
    13Camaiore26851333:42-929
    14Orvietana26771227:31-428
    15Follonica Gavorrano26771229:41-1228
    16Poggibonsi26651521:37-1623
    17Vivi Altotevere262111314:35-2117
    18Cannara26361717:51-3415

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          Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
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