Poggibonsi vs San Donato Tavarnelle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group E Poggibonsi - San Donato Tavarnelle
Result
0:1
19/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group E - Round 8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 43', 0 - 1, Gistri P. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Poggibonsi
34.8%
Draw
30.5%
San Donato Tavarnelle
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 30.4% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 31.2% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Poggibonsi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • San Donato Tavarnelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Poggibonsi - San Donato Tavarnelle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.5)
    2.97
    (3)
    2.61
    (2.75)
    10.4%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).
    • Poggibonsi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • San Donato's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poggibonsi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Poggibonsi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Poggibonsi - San Donato Tavarnelle were as follows:
    13.10.2024 Poggibonsi - San Donato Tavarnelle 2:1
    03.03.2024 San Donato Tavarnelle - Poggibonsi 2:0
    28.10.2023 Poggibonsi - San Donato Tavarnelle 1:0
    Latest results of Poggibonsi
    12.10.2025 Foligno - Poggibonsi 3:1
    05.10.2025 Poggibonsi - Prato 1:2
    28.09.2025 Ghiviborgo - Poggibonsi 1:1
    20.09.2025 Siena - Poggibonsi 2:0
    Latest results of San Donato Tavarnelle
    Italian Serie D - Group E Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Siena861111:2919
    2Grosseto861114:6819
    3Foligno851215:9616
    4Seravezza Pozzi851210:8216
    5San Donato843110:8215
    6Ghiviborgo842213:7614
    7Tau842211:9214
    8Prato840412:10212
    9Terranuova Traiana83146:9-310
    10Orvietana830510:1009
    11Montevarchi823311:17-69
    12Trestina82248:718
    13Scandicci82245:8-38
    14Follonica Gavorrano82246:10-48
    15Camaiore822410:16-68
    16Vivi Altotevere81435:8-37
    17Cannara81345:9-46
    18Poggibonsi80266:15-92

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
          Relegation