Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Górnik Łęczna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Górnik Łęczna
Result
3:3
14/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 9
  • Referee: Szypula P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
53
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
179
Throw-ins
1913
Fouls
716
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', Kryeziu E. , Rafa Santos ,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Spiaczka B. , Deja A. (A),
  • 22', Tkacz D. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Adamski R. , Jedrasik J. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 2, Spacil B. , Tkacz D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', Korczakowski I. 🟨,
  • 59', Ogaga D. 🟨,
  • 61', Szczepaniak M. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 61', Jedrasik J. , Barnowski D. ,
  • 72', 1 - 3, Farbiszewski B. (Own goal),
  • 73', Spacil B. , Kroczek D. ,
  • 76', Jaron D. , Staniszewski J. ,
  • 79', Bednarczyk J. 🟨,
  • 81', Olewinski O. , Wypart O. ,
  • 86', Spiaczka B. , Doba S. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 3, Adamski R. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Adamski R. ,
  • 90+3', David Abbott G. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Lis J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
25.3%
Draw
28.6%
Górnik Łęczna
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 26.1% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 25.4% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's form might have worsened.
  • Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Górnik Łęczna's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+25.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-22%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Górnik Łęczna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Górnik Łęczna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.57
    (1.88)
    5.44
    (3.55)
    3.16
    (3.75)
    -34.7%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Górnik Łęczna?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Grodzisk Mazowiecki has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Górnik Łęczna has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla971132:102222
    2Slask Wroclaw1062218:15320
    3Polonia Bytom1061318:12619
    4KS Wieczysta Krakow953120:91118
    5Ruch Chorzow1044215:12316
    6Grodzisk M1043320:16415
    7S. Rzeszow1042415:15014
    8Chrobry Glogow1034314:12213
    9Polonia Warszawa1034316:17-113
    10Odra Opole1034310:13-313
    11Pogon Siedlce1033411:10112
    12LKS Lodz1033414:14012
    13Tychy1032515:20-511
    14Legnica1032514:22-811
    15Stal Mielec1032513:21-811
    16Puszcza101639:12-39
    17Leczna1006413:22-96
    18Pruszkow1020812:27-156

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2