Result
3:3
14/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 9
- Referee: Szypula P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', Kryeziu E. ↓, Rafa Santos ↑,
- 14', 0 - 1, Spiaczka B. ⚽, Deja A. (A),
- 22', Tkacz D. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 1, Adamski R. ⚽, Jedrasik J. (A),
- 30', 1 - 2, Spacil B. ⚽, Tkacz D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', Korczakowski I. 🟨,
- 59', Ogaga D. 🟨,
- 61', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Gieroba S. ↑,
- 61', Jedrasik J. ↓, Barnowski D. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 3, Farbiszewski B. (Own goal),
- 73', Spacil B. ↓, Kroczek D. ↑,
- 76', Jaron D. ↓, Staniszewski J. ↑,
- 79', Bednarczyk J. 🟨,
- 81', Olewinski O. ↓, Wypart O. ↑,
- 86', Spiaczka B. ↓, Doba S. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Adamski R. ⚽,
- 90+2', 3 - 3, Adamski R. ⚽,
- 90+3', David Abbott G. 🟨,
- 90+5', Lis J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
25.3% | Draw
28.6% | Górnik Łęczna
46.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's form might have worsened.Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Górnik Łęczna's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+25.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-22%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Górnik Łęczna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Górnik Łęczna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.57 ↑
(1.88) |
5.44 ↑
(3.55) |
3.16 ↓
(3.75) |
-34.7%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Górnik Łęczna?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent form of Grodzisk Mazowiecki has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Górnik Łęczna has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Grodzisk Mazowiecki might have a minor edge in this game.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won against Górnik Łęczna?
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Łęczna won against Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
Górnik Łęczna has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Górnik Łęczna were as follows:
Latest results of Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 53:18 | 35 | 48 |
| 2 | Chrobry Glogow | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 38 |
| 3 | Wieczysta Krakow | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 47:33 | 14 | 37 |
| 4 | Polonia Warszawa | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 37:31 | 6 | 37 |
| 5 | Grodzisk M | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 39:29 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | S. Rzeszow | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 35:35 | 0 | 35 |
| 7 | Polonia Bytom | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 35 |
| 8 | Slask Wroclaw | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 40:36 | 4 | 34 |
| 9 | Legnica | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 39:39 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | LKS Lodz | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34:35 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 34:33 | 1 | 31 |
| 12 | Odra Opole | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 26 |
| 13 | Pogon Siedlce | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
| 14 | Puszcza | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 | Pruszkow | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 23:44 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 | Leczna | 22 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 25:41 | -16 | 15 |
| 17 | Tychy | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 27:48 | -21 | 14 |
| 18 | Stal Mielec | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 25:48 | -23 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2
