Górnik Łęczna vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
20/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
41
Corner kicks
19
Yellow cards
50
Red cards
20
Total shots
811
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
410
Corner kicks
19
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1118
Throw ins
1724
Fouls
1511

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Spacil B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 57', Kargulewicz K. , Barnowski D. ,
  • 57', Niewiadomski J. , Jedrasik J. ,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Spacil B. ,
  • 60', Gucek L. , Szabaciuk F. ,
  • 69', Ogaga D. 🟥,
  • 71', Noiszewski K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 75', Adkonis J. , Adamczyk H. ,
  • 75', Korczakowski I. , Lis J. ,
  • 80', Szczepaniak M. , Jaron D. ,
  • 81', 2 - 0, Kruk K. ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 87', Spacil B. , Tkacz D. ,
  • 90', 3 - 0, Orlik K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+4', Kryeziu E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Orlik K. , Akhmedov B. ,
  • 90+10', Budzilek L. 🟨,
  • 90+11', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Górnik Łęczna
35.1%
Draw
26.2%
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 26.4% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 27.1% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Górnik Łęczna's form might have worsened.
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Górnik Łęczna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.25)
    3.52
    (3.49)
    2.38
    (2.82)
    8.4%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Górnik Łęczna won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Górnik Łęczna 3:3
    Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla301611365:313459
    2Slask Wroclaw30159660:441654
    3Wieczysta Krakow30148860:431750
    4Chrobry Glogow301461041:291248
    5Polonia Warszawa30138946:43347
    6Ruch Chorzow301111844:42244
    7LKS Lodz29128944:42244
    8Grodzisk M291110847:44343
    9Legnica301271147:50-343
    10Puszcza301012841:37442
    11Polonia Bytom301181147:40741
    12S. Rzeszow301161342:49-739
    13Odra Opole309111028:35-738
    14Pogon Siedlce30991231:32-136
    15Stal Mielec30851743:58-1529
    16Leczna305121337:51-1427
    17Pruszkow30671734:58-2425
    18Tychy30561935:64-2921

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2