Lech Poznań 2 vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
09/11/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group II - Round 16

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 78', 0 - 1, Szewczyk F. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Wichtowski M. ,
  • 90', Wichtowski M. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Lech Poznań 2
60.1%
Draw
21.6%
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 21.6% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1% 21.1% 15.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lech Poznań 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.45)
    4.19
    (4.2)
    4.95
    (5.7)
    10.3%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 13).
    • Lech 2 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Nowe Skalmierzyce has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nowe Skalmierzyce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lech 2 is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Lech 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lech 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lech 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 4:1
    03.08.2024 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Lech Poznań 2 2:2
    Polish Division 3 - Group II Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sroda18123337:261139
    2Zawisza18114338:152337
    3Luzino19113543:251836
    4Elana Torun18104430:21934
    5Lech Poznan II19103643:281533
    6Cartusia Kartuzy18101728:24431
    7Lipno Steszew1993727:29-230
    8Swinoujscie1784525:17828
    9Blekitni Stargard1875632:27526
    10Wda Swiecie1982920:36-1626
    11Notec Czarnkow1874727:22525
    12Kluczevia Stargard1974829:25425
    13Pogon Szczecin II19631038:44-621
    14Nowe Skalmierzyce1947815:25-1019
    15Unia Swarzedz19451017:28-1117
    16Wrzesnia18511218:26-816
    17Tluchowo18431115:34-1915
    18Rewal1923146:36-309

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation