Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 8
- Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', Drag M. 🟨,
- 65', 0 - 1, Flis M. ⚽,
- 67', Sokol D. ↓, Tabara K. ↑,
- 73', Demianiuk C. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
- 76', Proczek T. ↓, Nadolski A. ↑,
- 76', Majewski R. ↓, Kazimierczak A. ↑,
- 77', Szuprytowski D. ↓, Rybak A. ↑,
- 78', Misiak P. 🟨,
- 87', Borecki M. ↓, Mak M. ↑,
- 90+8', Zielonka N. ↓, Zbrog J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Znicz Pruszków
34.3% | Draw
28% | Pogoń Siedlce
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↓
(2.83) |
3.3 ↓
(3.43) |
2.46 ↑
(2.35) |
7.9%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Znicz will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Siedlce: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Znicz won 2.
- Znicz has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pogoń Siedlce has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Znicz won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Znicz won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Znicz Pruszków won against Pogoń Siedlce?
Znicz Pruszków has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Siedlce won against Znicz Pruszków?
Pogoń Siedlce has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce were as follows:
05.07.2025
Znicz Pruszków
-
Pogoń Siedlce
1:2
12.04.2025
Pogoń Siedlce
-
Znicz Pruszków
2:1
28.09.2024
Znicz Pruszków
-
Pogoń Siedlce
1:0
03.02.2024
Znicz Pruszków
-
Pogoń Siedlce
2:1
01.07.2023
Pogoń Siedlce
-
Znicz Pruszków
2:0
Latest results of Znicz Pruszków
Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 28:7 | 21 | 18 |
| 2 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18:9 | 9 | 14 |
| 3 | Slask Wroclaw | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
| 4 | Polonia Bytom | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 | Pogon Siedlce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Grodzisk M | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | LKS Lodz | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Tychy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | S. Rzeszow | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Stal Mielec | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:17 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Chrobry Glogow | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 13 | Ruch Chorzow | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Legnica | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Odra Opole | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Puszcza | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 | Leczna | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Pruszkow | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8:26 | -18 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2
