Znicz Pruszków vs Pogoń Siedlce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce
Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 8
  • Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
104
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
169
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
117
Corner Kicks
104
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1616
Throw-ins
2825
Fouls
1313
Goalkeeper Saves
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', Drag M. 🟨,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Flis M. ,
  • 67', Sokol D. , Tabara K. ,
  • 73', Demianiuk C. , Zielonka N. ,
  • 76', Proczek T. , Nadolski A. ,
  • 76', Majewski R. , Kazimierczak A. ,
  • 77', Szuprytowski D. , Rybak A. ,
  • 78', Misiak P. 🟨,
  • 87', Borecki M. , Mak M. ,
  • 90+8', Zielonka N. , Zbrog J. ,

Chances of winning


Znicz Pruszków
34.3%
Draw
28%
Pogoń Siedlce
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 27.2% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 26.1% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.83)
    3.3
    (3.43)
    2.46
    (2.35)
    7.9%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Znicz will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Siedlce: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Znicz won 2.
    • Znicz has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Pogoń Siedlce has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Znicz won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Znicz won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce 1:2
    12.04.2025 Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków 2:1
    28.09.2024 Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce 1:0
    03.02.2024 Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce 2:1
    01.07.2023 Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków 2:0
    Latest results of Znicz Pruszków
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla971132:102222
    2Slask Wroclaw1062218:15320
    3Polonia Bytom1061318:12619
    4KS Wieczysta Krakow953120:91118
    5Ruch Chorzow1044215:12316
    6Grodzisk M1043320:16415
    7S. Rzeszow1042415:15014
    8Chrobry Glogow1034314:12213
    9Polonia Warszawa1034316:17-113
    10Odra Opole1034310:13-313
    11Pogon Siedlce1033411:10112
    12LKS Lodz1033414:14012
    13Tychy1032515:20-511
    14Legnica1032514:22-811
    15Stal Mielec1032513:21-811
    16Puszcza101639:12-39
    17Leczna1006413:22-96
    18Pruszkow1020812:27-156

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2