Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 25
- Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Pawlik M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Niezgoda J. ↓, Demianiuk C. ↑,
- 59', Pawlik M. ↓, Okhronchuk V. ↑,
- 68', Borecki M. ↓, Tabara K. ↑,
- 68', Bak D. ↓, Nadolski A. ↑,
- 69', Drag M. ↓, Poczobut B. ↑,
- 69', Famulak M. ↓, Zbrog J. ↑,
- 72', Jach J. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 0, Podlinski K. ⚽, Poczobut B. (A),
- 78', Podlinski K. 🟨,
- 80', Proczek T. ↓, Kazimierczak A. ↑,
- 80', Yuzvak A. ↓, Moskwik P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pogoń Siedlce
40.1% | Draw
29% | Znicz Pruszków
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.13) |
3.2 ↓
(3.24) |
3 ↓
(3.19) |
7.7%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Znicz will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Znicz (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Znicz (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 3.
- Pogoń Siedlce has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Znicz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Pogoń Siedlce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Siedlce won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Siedlce won against Znicz Pruszków?
Pogoń Siedlce has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Znicz Pruszków won against Pogoń Siedlce?
Znicz Pruszków has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków were as follows:
24.01.2026
Znicz Pruszków
-
Pogoń Siedlce
2:1
30.08.2025
Znicz Pruszków
-
Pogoń Siedlce
0:1
05.07.2025
Znicz Pruszków
-
Pogoń Siedlce
1:2
12.04.2025
Pogoń Siedlce
-
Znicz Pruszków
2:1
28.09.2024
Znicz Pruszków
-
Pogoń Siedlce
1:0
Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
Latest results of Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 30 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 65:31 | 34 | 59 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 60:44 | 16 | 54 |
| 3 | Wieczysta Krakow | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 60:43 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Chrobry Glogow | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 41:29 | 12 | 48 |
| 5 | Polonia Warszawa | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 46:43 | 3 | 47 |
| 6 | Ruch Chorzow | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 44:42 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | LKS Lodz | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 44:42 | 2 | 44 |
| 8 | Grodzisk M | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 47:44 | 3 | 43 |
| 9 | Legnica | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 47:50 | -3 | 43 |
| 10 | Puszcza | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 41:37 | 4 | 42 |
| 11 | Polonia Bytom | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 47:40 | 7 | 41 |
| 12 | S. Rzeszow | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 42:49 | -7 | 39 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 38 |
| 14 | Pogon Siedlce | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | -1 | 36 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 43:58 | -15 | 29 |
| 16 | Leczna | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 37:51 | -14 | 27 |
| 17 | Pruszkow | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 34:58 | -24 | 25 |
| 18 | Tychy | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 35:64 | -29 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2
