Pogoń Szczecin II vs Lipno Stęszew – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
27/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group II - Round 10

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Kusmierczyk B. ,
  • 14', 1 - 1, Rasiak J. ,
  • 18', 1 - 2, Kaczmarek D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 64', 2 - 2, Ossowski A. ,
  • 68', 3 - 2, Waligora N. ,
  • 72', 3 - 3, Chilinski K. ,
  • 79', 3 - 4, ,
  • 90+2', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Szczecin II
55.5%
Draw
26.2%
Lipno Stęszew
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 21.3% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 20.6% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Szczecin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Lipno Stęszew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin II than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Szczecin II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Pogoń Szczecin II - Lipno Stęszew Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.54)
    3.71
    (4.28)
    5.3
    (4.68)
    3%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin II - Lipno Stęszew?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lipno Stęszew (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Pogoń Szczecin II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Pogoń Szczecin II is a strong favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Polish Division 3 - Group II Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zawisza21144347:163146
    2Luzino22143549:272245
    3Sroda21143444:281645
    4Elana Torun22134535:251043
    5Lech Poznan II22113846:311536
    6Swinoujscie20104628:20834
    7Cartusia Kartuzy21111932:29334
    8Kluczevia Stargard2295834:26832
    9Blekitni Stargard2295837:32532
    10Lipno Steszew2294929:35-631
    11Wda Swiecie2294924:37-1331
    12Notec Czarnkow2185830:29129
    13Nowe Skalmierzyce22571019:33-1422
    14Unia Swarzedz22561121:30-921
    15Pogon Szczecin II22631340:51-1121
    16Wrzesnia21511520:32-1216
    17Tluchowo21441317:39-2216
    18Rewal22341510:42-3213

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation