Tłuchowia Tłuchowo vs Pogoń Szczecin II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
01/05/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group II - Round 29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Kmiecik M. ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 49', 1 - 2, ,
  • 55', 1 - 3, ,
  • 75', 2 - 3, Figura D. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Walczak W. ,

Chances of winning


Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
30.5%
Draw
24.9%
Pogoń Szczecin II
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 22.1% 55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6% 20.4% 60.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tłuchowia Tłuchowo's performance.
  • Pogoń Szczecin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogoń Szczecin II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tłuchowia Tłuchowo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin II than the current prediction. (+15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogoń Szczecin II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Pogoń Szczecin II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (3.96)
    3.65
    (4)
    2.04
    (1.59)
    10.1%
    (13.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Tłuchowia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Pogoń Szczecin II is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Pogoń Szczecin II will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tłuchowia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Pogoń Szczecin II were as follows:
    12.10.2025 Pogoń Szczecin II - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo 2:3
    Latest results of Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin II
    Polish Division 3 - Group II Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zawisza28205361:204165
    2Luzino29204567:353264
    3Sroda29166756:381854
    4Elana Torun29147847:361149
    5Lech Poznan II29146963:422148
    6Kluczevia Stargard29137949:311846
    7Wda Swiecie291361038:47-945
    8Swinoujscie281261043:43042
    9Lipno Steszew291261137:43-642
    10Notec Czarnkow291161240:43-339
    11Wrzesnia291131535:38-336
    12Cartusia Kartuzy291131538:45-736
    13Unia Swarzedz29981234:35-135
    14Blekitni Stargard29971345:49-434
    15Nowe Skalmierzyce29781428:44-1629
    16Pogon Szczecin II29751750:62-1226
    17Tluchowo29571725:55-3022
    18Rewal29362017:67-5015

          Promotion ~ Division 2
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          Relegation