Poland vs Iceland, EuroBasket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball EuroBasket Poland - Iceland
Result
84:75
31/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EuroBasket - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandRuutu+
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
icelandIcelandRUV
italyItalyDAZN Italia
norwayNorwayDAZN
polandPolandTVP Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4, SportKlub 6
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenDAZN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
worldWorldCourt Side 1891

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5963
Field Goals Made
2727
Field Goals %
45.8%42.9%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3637
2-Point Field Goals Made
2221
2-Point Field Goals %
61.1%56.8%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2326
3-Point Field Goals Made
56
3-Point Field Goals %
21.7%23.1%
Free Throws Attempted
3420
Free Throws Made
2515
Free Throws %
73.5%75%
Offensive Rebounds
116
Defensive Rebounds
2722
Total Rebounds
3828
Assists
2019
Blocks
34
Turnovers
1513
Steals
47
Personal Fouls
2528

Highlights

Chances of winning


Poland
82.8%
Iceland
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.3% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.6% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poland's performance.
  • Iceland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iceland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poland than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poland that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iceland than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iceland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Poland - Iceland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.18
    (1.31)

    5.52
    (3.6)
    3%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 161.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
  • What is the prediction for Poland - Iceland?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Poland will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Iceland will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Iceland (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 87:76.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Poland have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Iceland is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Iceland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Poland is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Poland won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 345:287. (average 86.3:71.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Poland - Iceland were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Poland - Iceland 92:90
    Latest results of Poland
    30.08.2025 Poland - Israel 66:64
    28.08.2025 Slovenia - Poland 95:105
    21.08.2025 Finland - Poland 106:87
    17.08.2025 Poland - Finland 88:97
    14.08.2025 Poland - Georgia 94:89
    Latest results of Iceland
    30.08.2025 Iceland - Belgium 64:71
    28.08.2025 Israel - Iceland 83:71
    22.08.2025 Lithuania - Iceland 96:83
    15.08.2025 Portugal - Iceland 83:79
    14.08.2025 Sweden - Iceland 70:73
    Draw
    Final tournament

    1/8-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Latvia (A3)88 : 79
    2Greece (C1)Israel (D4)84 : 79
    3Turkey (A1)Sweden (B4)85 : 79
    4Poland (D2)Bosnia & Herzegovina (C3)80 : 72
    5Germany (B1)Portugal (A4)85 : 58
    6Italy (C2)Slovenia (D3)77 : 84
    7Serbia (A2)Finland (B3)86 : 92
    8France (D1)Georgia (C4)70 : 80

    Quarter-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Greece (C1)76 : 87
    2Turkey (A1)Poland (D2)91 : 77
    3Germany (B1)Slovenia (D3)99 : 91
    4Finland (B3)Georgia (C4)93 : 79

    Semi-finals
    1Greece (C1)Turkey (A1)68 : 94
    2Germany (B1)Finland (B3)98 : 86

    Final
    1Turkey (A1)Germany (B1)83 : 88

    3rd place
    2Greece (C1)Finland (B3)92 : 89